Spiller's Filly Looks Overpriced At Brighton

Apologies for the lack of a regular blog over the past few days. I have been having issues with my laptop which have thankfully been resolved. .

This is a tough time of the year for punters, as the flat season winds down and the jumpers start to emerge. It is a time to tread warily when it comes to having a bet, and it is crucial to consider the form of the trainer of the horse you want to back. Saeed Bin Suroor has been on fire in recent weeks, and this is no surprise as year after year he sends out heaps of winners in the months of September and October. Anything of his priced 5/2 or bigger looks worth having a go on. The shorter ones, especially in midweek, can be dodgy (like yesterday)

Another trainer who looks to have his small string in fine fettle at the moment is Newmarket handler Henry Spiller. Now he hasn't been firing in the winners like Bin Suroor, but his last five runners have all been there or thereabouts, including a couple of French 2yo raiders that finished 5th and 2nd. He has another 2yo at Brighton today, and there is reason to believe she could put up an improved showing.

Last Star Falling goes in the opening maiden at 1.50, and on all known form she looks to be up against it with the Portman gelding way ahead on what he has shown thus far. However, he ran a stinker at skinny odds last time, and is not one for maximum faith. The Spiller filly has been sent off at huge odds on both starts so far, but she definitely offered something to work on at Beverley last time over 7.5f (good).

This Acclamation filly is nicely bred, and has a 2yo winning half sibling (8f good to soft). Her dam is well related too, out of a good to soft listed winner from the family of Rail Link. There is plenty of black type in her pedigree, as well as lots of easy ground winners, so the current good to soft ground at Brighton will suit.

 The drop in trip should suit too, and she is well drawn in stall 2. I think Jack Mitchell will look to make plenty of use of her from her good draw and she kept on well enough at Beverley to suggest she has a bit of stamina. Hopefully she can make a bold at Brighton, and she could be worth taking a chance on each way at 16/1.

STEVOS' SELECTION: 1.50 BRIGHTON LAST STAR FALLING (E/W) 16/1.