We didn’t fare too badly on opening day of Champions’
Weekend at Leopardstown on Saturday with a couple of winners. Clique travelled
like the best horse in the race in the opener but he found nil and perhaps he
will appreciate better ground. Nelson did the business for us in fine style in
the next, advised at 15/2 and returning at 11/2. Daybreak Boy was far from
disgraced in the 13f handicap, finishing 7th of 20 and he was only 1.5L behind
the winner and 0.75L off a place.
It was hard work for Eziyra in the next but she got the job
done and returned at 9/10 (advised at 11/8). Intricately and Custom Cut were
desperately disappointing and unfortunately the ground was a bit too lively for
Zhukova. Geological got boxed in on the inside in the last and Holy Cat was
simply never at the races. It was a disappointing finish to the day after a
promising start but at least Nelson did the business. Hopefully we can find
another winner or two at the Curragh and you can find out my fancies below.
David O'Meara had a nice winner at Leopardstown. |
RACE 1
A nice easy start to proceedings on Day 1 with a 23 runner
6f handicap. The one I like at a nice each way price is the David O’Meara
trained 4yo son of Fast Company, Al Qahwa. O’Meara landed a nice pot with
Suedois at Leopardstown on Saturday and the ground has come right for Al Qahwa
at the Curragh. He is best with an ease in the ground and it is currently
yielding to soft at the Kildare track.
This fella has run poorly on his last couple of starts at
Goodwood and Ripon but he is likely to have been trained with this race in mind
and he ran a cracker in a Group 3 on his only previous run at The Curragh. He
is racing off a mark of 97, just 3lb higher than the rating off which he scored
at York back in May (6f sft) and he was only beaten 2L off 97 there in July. A
high draw is preferable in these races at The Curragh and from a decent
starting position in Stall 18 I think Al Qahwa is well worth backing each way
at odds of 16/1.
STEVOS’ SELECTION: AL
QAHWA E/W @ 16/1
RACE 2
Nine fillies and mares go to post for the 10f Group 2
Blandford Stakes and one that could run well at a half decent price is Shamreen
for Dermot Weld and Pat Smullen. This relatively lightly raced 4yo daughter of
Dubawi scored in this race last year and she showed she was back to her best
with a commanding win in first time blinkers in a Group 3 here last month (10f
yld/sft).
The ground will be identical for her here and the blinkers
have been discarded by Mr Weld. After her win here last time he posited that a
crack at a Group 1 could be on the cards for her and that suggests that he
thinks this filly has improved. However, he has decided to send her out to
defend her crown in this race and though it looks a stronger renewal I can see
Shamreen making a bold bid at odds of 9/1.
STEVOS’ SELECTION:
SHAMREEN E/W @ 9/1
race 3
The Group 2 Flying Five stakes sees a field of 12 sprinters
go to post and this race revolves around Caravaggio. It is hard to believe this
fella is as big as 6/4 for a Group 2 but he has been bitterly disappointing on
his last couple of starts and it remains to be seen if he can get back to his sparkling
best. If he returns to the level of his spectacular Royal Ascot win he will
undoubtedly be hard to beat but there are a lot of risks involved in backing
him and at a bigger price I think Gorane could go well.
This 3yo daughter of Dream Ahead seemed to relish the soft
ground last time when scoring in a Listed heat at Tipperary and she had
Ardhoomey a length behind. That rival is 3lb better off with her here but
Gorane wasn’t stopping at Tipperary and I think she can uphold the form. Declan
McDonagh abandons ship and rides Caspian Prince instead but he is best on better
ground than they will get here. I think 25/1 is too big about this filly and at
that price she has to be worth chancing for small stakes each way.
STEVOS’ SELECTION:
GORANE E/W @ 25/1
RACE 4, RACE 5 AND
RACE 6
I have covered these races for Mybettingbonus and you can
check what I fancy by clicking here.
RACE 7
30 2yos go to post in this Sales race and a case can be made
for quite a few of them. Brendan Duke is a trainer I have a lot of time for and
he has been bullish about the quality of his 2yo crop this season. Warm The
Voice showed that he wasn’t talking rubbish and in The Broghie Man he looks to
have another good one. His sire Cityscape handled cut in the ground and his dam
is by Dutch Art so hopefully the underfoot conditions pose no problems. He has
a nice draw in stall 21, he races off a low weight and with Kevin Manning in the
plate a big run could be forthcoming at 11/1.
With such a big field it makes sense to have a saver on one
at a huge price and perhaps Optimum Time can outrun his odds for Eve Johnson
Houghton and Charles Bishop. This son of Manduro won on debut in taking fashion
on easy ground at Windsor but he has struggled on faster ground the last twice.
The return to softer ground could spark him back to life, he is well drawn in
stall 25 and at odds of 33/1 he is worth backing each way for small stakes.
STEVOS’ SELECTIONS:
THE BROGHIE MAN E/W @ 11/1 OPTIMUM TIME E/W @ 33/1
David Egan is great value for his 3lb claim. |
RACE 8
A tricky looking handicap to finish up with and a case can
be made for quite a few of the 18 runner field. I tipped up First Flight at
huge odds at York last time and with a kinder passage I think he would have
gone very close. He got trapped out wide, didn’t enjoy the clearest of runs but
he still stayed on nicely to grab 6th, 3.5L behind the winner and less than a
length off a place.
The ground will admittedly be very different at The Curragh
but this son of Invincible Spirit has run well on all three occasions that he
has encountered soft ground, including when 2nd behind Air Pilot at Newbury off
a mark of 96. David Egan’s claim means he is effectively 3lb lower here and
with trip and ground to suit hopefully First Flight can reward each way support
at odds of 20/1.
STEVOS’ SELECTION:
FIRST FLIGHT E/W @ 20/1
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