A couple of months ago I wrote a preview of the Arc for a site I do work for and at that time Enable could be backed at as big as 6/1. Her commanding reappearance win at Kempton was the catalyst for a big plunge on this fabulous filly and from an excellent draw in stall 6 she is going to take all the beating. Even if the forecast rain arrives it won’t worry this dashing daughter of Nathaniel and she is very difficult to oppose.
Sea Of Class and Magical represent the best of the 3yo fillies in 2018 and of those two I would have to side with Magical, simply because of her price. She could well benefit for the step up in trip and she will have to improve plenty for it, but 50/1 is too big about a ground versatile filly from a yard that had the 1-2-3 in this back in 2016. If the rain does come that will be a massive blow to Sea Of Class. She is undoubtedly at her best on rattling quick ground and any sort of an ease would greatly reduce her chance.
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| Enable looks a worthy favourite to win her second Arc. |
Study Of Man is a horse I rate highly and I tipped him up in the race won by Roaring Lion at Leopardstown last time. I was there that day and Study Of Man got pretty buzzed up in the ring before that race so I would put a line through it. He has been handed a poor draw but he could still be a danger at a big price with luck in running as he possesses a serious turn of foot on his day. The fact that connections are reaching for blinkers is a worry though, and there are too many question marks to be confident about Study Of Man.
The one that a lot of people are talking about as a potential winner is Waldgeist and he has been backed accordingly. He was very impressive in a small field renewal of the Prix Foy when beating Talismanic, who re-opposes here. Waldgeist has won on ground ranging from soft to good so he won’t mind a drop of rain. His trainer has won this race a record seven times and he has the credentials to run a big race.
He is a best price of 7/1 for Sunday’s race and on a line through the form of his July win over Coronet back in July, I think Salouen is massively overpriced at odds of 80/1 for Sylvester Kirk and Oisin Murphy. This fella hasn’t won since he was a 2yo, but don’t let that put you off because he has shown some serious form in defeat, including when beaten a head by Cracksman at a huge price on soft ground over this trip in the Coronation Cup at Epsom.
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| Salouen looks massively overpriced at 80/1. |
He has just over a length to find with Waldgeist on their meeting in the Grand Prix de Saint-Cloud and he had a pleasing prep run for this in a Group 2 at Deauville when finishing a decent 3rd behind Loxley. A nice 42 day break since that run should mean that Salouen is fresh and well for this race and his trainer has always said that this was his target for the season.
Both of this son of Canford Cliffs’ wins came on good to firm ground as a 2yo but he has run some of his best races on soft and good to soft so any forecast rain won’t worry him. The draw has been kind to Salouen who starts from stall 7 and hopefully he breaks well and gets his favoured prominent racing position. His jockey Oisin Murphy has had an unbelievable season so far and he is riding with supreme confidence. Enable is the one to beat and she is by far the most likely winner, but Salouen is massively overpriced and he is my each way alternative.
STEVOS’ SELECTIONS: ARC DE TRIOMPHE: ENABLE WIN 11/10; SALOUEN E/W 80/1 (4 PLACES)
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