We failed to get a winner on the
board on Day 1 at Leopardstown, but at least we picked up some place money. Jon
Ess ran better than his finishing position and distance beaten suggest. A
sticky jump at a crucial time cost him dearly but he did keep on well in the home
straight. Got Trumped again looked a shade green but he has an engine and he
battled on well to grab 3rd.
Tara Dylan looked as though she
would finish out with the washing, but to her credit she stayed on pluckily
from half a mile out. She was left with far too much to do but thankfully she
finished 4th and a lot of bookies paid 4 places each way. Us And Them was no
match for Le Richebourg but bravely won the battle for 2nd, while Quamino fell
early on. There is plenty more quality fare to get stuck into on Day 2 and you
can check out my tips below…
Race 1
The
opening 3yo maiden hurdle is a two mile contest and a bumper field of 29 horses
will go to post. Joseph O’Brien has been handed a couple of classy flat
performers by his Dad and of his two, Sir Erec looks the most interesting.
This
Galileo colt was a Listed winner with a rating of 109 on the level and he got
to within 2.5L of Stradivarius in a Group 2 at Ascot on his last start in that
sphere back in October. If he jumps well he should win this but taking 5/4
about a horse that has never faced a hurdle in public is risky.
|
Gordon Elliott won this race a few years back with Flaxen Flare. |
Instead,
I will be taking a chance on Ingenuity for Gordon Elliott with Davy Russell in
the plate. This fella was a couple of stone inferior to Sir Erec on the flat
and his sole win in that discipline came in a 6f 2yo maiden for Jedd O’Keefe.
However,
he is by an excellent national hunt sire in Slickly, a stallion that has produced
quality jumpers like Call Me Lord, Bertimont and Olofi. Stamina is a worry on the
dam side of Ingenuity’s pedigree but if he stays, he could outrun his odds of
20/1.
STEVOS’ SELECTION: 12.10-INGENUITY
E/W @ 20/1
Race 2
The
second race on the card is a 17f Beginners’ Chase and nine horses will line up
at the start. A few of these bring
serious hurdling form into the race, including Paloma Blue (15/8), Real Steel
(7/2), Moon Over Germany (4/1) and Mitchouka (12/1). They all have Graded form
over timber, but so does 16/1 shot Impact Factor and I think he is worth
chancing each way in a first time hood.
This
fella was beaten half a length by Hardline in a Grade 2 hurdle at Naas earlier
this year and that horse has franked that form in no uncertain terms since. He
was only 2L behind Paloma Blue in a maiden hurdle at this meeting last year and
he was in the process of going close on his second start over fences when falling
at the last. If the hood sharpens up his jumping I think he could go well and
at 16/1, he is the each way suggestion.
STEVOS’ SELECTION: 12.40-IMPACT
FACTOR E/W @ 16/1
Race 3
This
Grade 1 2 mile chase has attracted seven horses and it is a proper Christmas cracker.
Footpad will be looking to make amends for his fall at Naas last time, as will
Great Field who tipped up at Cork. That is hardly ideal preparation coming into
a race that will require an exceptional round of jumping at high speed.
|
Simply Ned showed there was life left in the old dog yet last time out. |
Ballyoisin
brings a big reputation into this race and he is on a mission to complete a
five timer. He is obviously
a big danger on ground that will suit him perfectly, but after a superb effort
behind Sceau Royal at Cheltenham last time, I think Simply Ned is the one they have
to beat.
He was rightly awarded this race in the Stewards' room last year with
Min demoted to 2nd. This likeable son of Fruits Of Love will relish the nice ground
and has career form figures here of 32312. At odds of 16/1 he looks well
worth chancing each way against his younger rivals.
STEVOS’ SELECTION: 1.15-SIMPLY
NED E/W @ 16/1 NB
Race 4
We get
another festive treat with this 2 mile Grade 1 Novice Hurdle and six will battle
it out for the £100k pot. Sancta Simona will be partnered by Barry Geraghty and
his confidence is likely to be on the floor after getting beaten on Buveur D’Air
at Kempton. In any case, I prefer the chances of Triplicate after his excellent
efforts behind Quick Grabim at Fairyhouse last time (Aramon behind) and at
Tipperary (Easy Game behind).
I think
that form is the best on offer in this race by some distance, particularly when
you consider what Easy Game has gone on to do. He was almost 5L behind
Triplicate in 3rd at Tipperary and with no Quick Grabim in the field this time,
Triplicate can go on to claim a much deserved breakthrough success at the
highest level. At odds of 3/1 he is the NAP of the day.
STEVOS’ SELECTION: 1.50-TRIPLICATE
WIN @ 3/1 NAP
Race 5
This 18
runner 2 mile handicap hurdle looks an extremely tricky contest to solve so I
am taking a punt on one at huge odds. Veinard is a horse that I have tipped up
before and while he has only won once during his career, I am convinced he has
another race of this nature in him. He is a hold up sort who needs to be
produced on the line, and he saves his best form for Leopardstown.
He was a
big eyecatcher on his last run here back in February off a mark of 126, slicing
through the field in the last three furlongs to finish 7th of 28. He was beaten
just under 9L by the winner but he was only 1L off Tudor City (5th). He is 7lb
better off with that rival today off a mark of 123 and if Elliott has him ready
to rock on his return from a break a big run could be on the cards at odds of
25/1.
STEVOS’ SELECTION: 2.25-VEINARD E/W
@ 25/1 (5 PLACES POWERS)
Race 6
The 24.5f
Paddy Power Handicap Chase is always a fiercely contested heat and this year is
no exception. A massive field of 28 chasers will take their chances and luck
always plays a part in races of this nature. Scoir Mear creeps in off a feather
weight for Thomas Mullins and JP McManus and Conor Maxwell will ride.
|
Scoir could soar upped in trip on good ground. |
I have
been waiting a long time for this fella to tackle 3 miles on decent ground. I
tipped him up at Cheltenham in 2017 in the 21f Coral Cup and he flew home for 5th,
6L behind Supasundae, on the good to soft ground.He was
sent chasing last season and most of his runs came over shorter. His sole run
at 23f was on bottomless ground and that was never going to suit.
I thought he shaped
well at Navan last time behind today’s favourite De Name Escapes Me and he is
14lb better off with that rival now. Thomas Mullins has his string in great
form and at odds of 33/1 Scoir Mear is worth chancing each way (7 places).
STEVOS’ SELECTION: 3.00-SCOIR
MEAR E/W @ 33/1 (7 PLACES E/W POWERS)
Race 7
A trappy
looking bumper that I won’t be having a bet on.
STEVOS’ SELECTION: 3.30 LEOPARDSTOWN-NO
BET