Race 1
The
ground is currently described as yielding on the hurdles course at
Leopardstown, while on the chase course it is good to yielding. The opening
contest is a 21 runner maiden hurdle and a case can be made for quite a few. Vision
D’honneur is a fascinating contender on his Irish debut for Gigginstown and
Gordon Elliott. He holds some fancy entries, cost £350k and he won his sole
start in France by 3.5L. The bookies haven’t missed him though, and he is a best
price of just 5/4.
Jon Ess showed he had potential as a hurdler at Cork. |
Classical
Dream brings French Grade 1 hurdling form to the table and he has an experience
edge over Vision D’honneur. Dancing On My Own comes into the reckoning on the
back of a fine effort last time at Navan, while Entoucas ran well on his last
outing at Gowran Park. However, the one that could go well at a big price is
Jon Ess for Conor O’Dwyer and Ricky Doyle. On a line through Éclair De Beaufeu
(a head behind him at Cork) he has only 3L to find with Dancing On My Own, yielding
ground could suit and at odds of 33/1 he is a tentative each way selection in a
tough looking heat.
STEVOS’ SELECTION: 12.10-JON ESS E/W @ 33/1
Race 2
Things don’t
get any easier in the second race on the card, another 16f maiden hurdle with 18
runners. City Island has won his last three starts, including his hurdling
debut last time, but he was disqualified for a positive post-race drug test. He
will be looking for compensation here and it is no surprise to see him
favourite at 11/8.
To be
honest, I can’t really see much value in this race. Raya Time, Defy De Mee and
Dallas Des Pictons all look to be priced up correctly to me and while Song Of
Namibia is mildly tempting at 14/1, it is too risky to chance backing him first
time out over timber. No bet for me, but I do think the favourite City Island
is the most likely winner.
STEVOS’ SELECTION: 12.40-NO BET
Race 3
This Grade
2 Juvenile Hurdle is for 3yos only and it has attracted a field of 18 runners.
Gordon Elliott holds the key to this contest and two of his entries are
battling it out for favouritism. Only a head separated Chief Justice and Coeur
Sublime at Fairyhouse in a Grade 3 last time (in that order) and given that the
winner is now 4lb better off now it is difficult to see the runner up turning the form around.
Got Trumped could improve on his fine win last time. |
However,
at a nice each way price Got Trumped looks a very interesting contender for
Jessie Harrington with Brian Hayes getting a rare ride for the yard. This fella
beat Rocky Blue comfortably despite showing signs of greenness last time at Punchestown
and he gave the impression that there could be a fair bit more to come. The
form of both his hurdle runs looks solid and if he improves again he could go
close at odds of 14/1.
STEVOS’ SELECTION: 1.10-GOT
TRUMPED E/W @ 14/1 NAP
Race 4
This novice
handicap hurdle has attracted 15 runners but plenty of bookies will be paying
four places each way, so shop around. Warnaq won as he liked at Navan and he
looks a worthy favourite off 10lb higher. I like one at a juicy price here and
I think Tara Dylan could go well for David and Thomas Mullins. This daughter of
Dylan Thomas ran better than her finishing position suggests last time out at
Fairyhouse.
She
travelled well in rear and just couldn’t get into the race when the leaders
quickened. She has yet to win over timber, but she won three times on the level
and some of her best flat form came at Leopardstown (beaten just over 2L over
13f off 83), including a maiden win. The handicapper has generously dropped her
5lb to 117, David Mullins is back on board and at odds of 20/1 she should go
well for each way players.
STEVOS’ SELECTION: 1.40-TARA
DYLAN E/W @ 20/1 NB
Race 5
The first
Grade 1 of the Xmas Festival at Leopardstown is a 17f Novice Chase.
Disappointingly, only six runners will line up at the start and Mengli Khan is
the red hot favourite. Plenty of pundits were waxing lyrical about this fella
after his chasing debut but I wasn’t as taken by the performance as some
others. He could well prove me wrong and hack up, but I am going to take him on
with Us And Them.
Us And Them could make a bold bid from the front. |
This son
of Stowaway produced arguably a career best when lowering the colours of Duca
De Thaix at Navan last month, his first run on good ground. The application of
a first time tongue tie suggests he may have had some breathing issues when
beaten at the same track by Hardline last time. This front runner should be
suited by a small field and if Mengli Khan fluffs his lines Us And Them could
be the one to benefit. At odds of 20/1 a small each way interest is advised.
STEVOS’ SELECTION: 2.20-US
AND THEM E/W @ 20/1
Race 6
The
penultimate race at Leopardstown on St Stephens’ Day is a 17f handicap chase. Twelve
horses will go to post and Quamino looks an interesting runner for Paul Nolan
and Bryan Cooper. This fella remains unexposed over fences and I think he could
be well suited by the drop back in trip. He won a Beginners’ Chase on his
seasonal comeback at Fairyhouse (21f gd) and he was far from disgraced behind
Judgement Day and Kildorrery at Punchestown last time out (20f gd).
This son
of Lord Of England won a 2 mile handicap hurdle at Wexford last season and was
placed on his next two starts at that distance. I think dropping back to 17f
won’t inconvenience him at all and it could help him turn the Kildorrery form
around. He makes his handicap debut over fences off a mark of 129 and at odds
of 16/1 he could surprise with a big run.
STEVOS’ SELECTION: 2.55-
QUAMINO E/W @ 16/1
Race 7
No bet
for me in the closing bumper, a race to watch with a view to the future.
STEVOS’ SELECTION: 3.30 LEOPARDSTOWN-NO
BET
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