This weekend Kempton hosts the Lanzarote Handicap Hurdle. Dan Skelton has won the last two renewals and he has five entered this year so he is clearly determined to complete the hat-trick. In those last two renewals, we have backed Up For Parol. He got the place for us at 25s in 2023 but last year he ran a stinker. I was obviously tempted to go in on him again (so he’ll probably hack up) but this year, I am going to take a chance on the Welsh raider, Titan Discovery.
Trained by Robbie Llewellyn, this 7yo son of Pether’s Moon is lurking on a winnable mark, in my opinion. A winner by a head on his handicap debut off 104 in December 2023 at Ascot (15.5f, gd/sft), he added to that tally off 11lb higher In February at Sandown (20f, sft) two runs later.
On his next start, Titan Discovery stepped up in grade and
contested a class 2 handicap hurdle over this C&D. Still travelling sweetly
as they turned for home, he got stuck in a bit of a pocket on the inside and
when the eventual winner Boombawn made his race winning move, Liam Harrison had
to switch out wide to follow him and the Skelton horse just got first run.
Titan did jump the last two hurdles perhaps a tiny bit steeply,
which cost him momentum, but once Harrison gave him the office after the last
he picked up strongly, and the winner was clinging on for dear life at the
line.
Solid Form
Boombawn, then racing off 130, has since won a Grade 2 over
fences and is rated 141 in that sphere. Irish Hill was a couple of lengths off
them in third running off 124 and he has won off that mark since and is now
rated 131. Kateira was back in fourth off 136 and she won a grade 3 handicap at
Aintree afterwards (and a Listed here) and is now rated 145.
Robbie Llewellyn’ charge will be racing off 123 here, just
2lb higher than he was in that C&D contest. He shaped as though needing the
run when a respectable seventh on his seasonal return in the 19.5f Silver
Trophy at Chepstow three months ago and he’ll be better suited by the right
handed track at Kempton. His form figures over hurdles going left handed read
67, going the other way they read 421212.
Soft or good to soft ground is perfectly fine for him, my
only concern is that he’s been absent for three months since that Chepstow
return. Looking back at the stats, Robbie Llewellyn didn’t have a winner or a
second from twenty four runners between September and November so perhaps some
of his horses weren’t fully healthy and he didn’t want to run this lad until
his string had turned the corner.
He went 2/11 in December and this month he’s had a second
from his three runners so far, so it looks like he has his string in fine
fettle now. I’m convinced this horse has a big pot in him on a right-handed
track and I’m hoping this has been the long-term target since his excellent run
over C&D last year. So, at odds of 25/1, Titan Discovery is the e/w selection.
2025 Lanzarote Hurdle Kempton Ante-Post: Titan Discovery
e/w @ 25/1 (4 places 1/4 odds)