2025 Royal Ascot Ante-Post E/W Lucky 15

It’s almost the most wonderful time of the Flat season. In just over a week some the world’s best racehorses will fight it out for honours at Ascot’s Royal Meeting and I am hoping to find a few big priced winners. I have been studying the form and I have four fancies for a 2025 Royal Ascot Ante-Post e/w Lucky 15 (and four e/w singles), find out who I am backing below.

Day 1 – Queen Anne Stakes (Group 1)

This looks like it could be a cracking renewal. There’s been a couple of shock results in this 1m Group 1 in recent years, including Accidental Agent at 33/1 in 2018 who long time followers will remember fondly. Triple Time won at 33s in 2023 and this year I am hoping that Docklands can spring a surprise.

Trained by Harry Eustace, this race has always been the plan for the son of Massaat. He ran an absolutely massive race in it last year to finish a 2.25l second behind Charyn and that wasn’t his first good run at this venue. He has run at Ascot six times during his career and has posted form figures of 113222.

Clearly, he is something of a course specialist and he acts on quick and soft ground so whatever the weather does won’t be a concern. He has run crackers in both starts this season, albeit at a lower level than this, finishing a 0.5l second to Sardinian Warrior over C&D in a Listed race on his seasonal reappearance and he was a 0.75l third behind Persica in the G3 Diomed Stakes at Epsom last week when not getting the clearest of runs.

With an official rating of 113, he needs to improve to trouble the top rated ones in here but I think, if the race goes his way on a track he loves, he is capable of running to 120. Will that be good enough to win? Maybe not, but it should be enough to get a place and if one or two of the principals aren’t firing, you never know what might happen. At odds of 25/1, Docklands is worth backing e/w.

2025 Royal Ascot Ante-Post Tip: Docklands e/w @ 25/1

Day 1 – Coventry Stakes (Group 2)

Adrian Murray rarely sends horses to Ascot unless they have a realistic chance and he has nominated Power Blue as his best hope of a winner this year. I also think Arizona Blaze has a huge chance and he almost made this preview, but he’s still entered in two different races so I am going to hold off backing him until his target is confirmed.

Power Blue, by rookie sire Space Blues, made a nice impression on debut when winning by over 3.75l at the Curragh (5f, soft). Murray wasted no time in stepping him up in grade and six weeks later he ran well in defeat in a listed heat behind the hugely promising filly Lady Iman, again over 5f. He was conceding 5lb to her and was beaten 1.5l and she went on to land a G3 on her next start.

Last time out, again at the Curragh, Power Blue stepped up to 6f for the first time in the G3 Marble Hill. We backed him that day and he pushed Albert Einstein to the pin of his collar, eventually going down by 0.75l. The Ballydoyle horse was installed as the 6/4 fav for the Coventry after that effort, but he’s been ruled out of the Royal Meeting.

When I went to look at the odds this afternoon, I thought Power Blue would be 6/1 or 7/1 max. To my amazement, he is chalked up at 25s with a couple of firms. At those odds, he has to be worth backing e/w.

2025 Royal Ascot Ante-Post Tip: Power Blue e/w @ 25/1

Day 4 – Commonwealth Cup (Group 1)

Karl Burke has previous in this race. He won it with Quiet Reflection in 2016, he had a fourth in 2021, a third in 2023 and in 2025, I think Leovanni is capable of running big for him in this 6f sprint which is restricted to 3yos only.

He has three entered this year and the one that looks to be his main hope is last year’s Queen Mary winner, Leovanni. By Kodi Bear, this filly won her first two starts at 5f last year (including that Queen Mary here) then ran a cracker upped to 6f when third behind Celandine in the G2 Lowther Stakes at York. She ran poorly in the Cheveley Park on her final start of 2024 but in her defence, the ground was soft.

Leovanni made her seasonal reappearance in the Achilles Stakes at Haydock over 5f last month. We backed the winner Balmoral Lady, who got a dream run up the inner, but Leovanni didn’t enjoy such luck in running.

She only got daylight around three quarters of a furlong from home and by that stage the leaders had flown. However, once Buick pushed her out, she made up lots of ground in the last 100 yards or so and the way she finished suggests to me that she will relish the stiffer test at Ascot.

This is her only entry, so she is almost certain to run and the only worry would be if we had a wet week and the ground was soft. The long range forecast, for what it is worth, says that we should be racing on fast ground so hopefully, for once, it is right. At odds of 25/1, Leovanni is the e/w pick.

2025 Royal Ascot Ante-Post Tip: Leovanni e/w @ 25/1

Day 4 – Coronation Stakes (Group 1)

News broke earlier today that Lake Victoria would not be running at Royal Ascot. We have already backed Cercene ante-post for this race at 100s and while those odds are now gone, I do think she is still overpriced at the 25s that is still available with a couple of firms.

Basically, I think we’ll see the best of this filly when she gets a strongly run race on quick ground at a mile and she should get that at Ascot. I am going to include her in our e/w lucky 15, my full reasoning for fancying her can be read via this link. If you have already backed her at 100s, then there's no need to go in for another single. 

2025 Royal Ascot Ante-Post Tip: Cercene e/w @ 25/1

2025 Royal Ascot Ante-Post E/W Lucky 15

Queen Anne Stakes – Docklands e/w @ 25/1

Coventry Stakes – Power Blue e/w @ 25/1

Commonwealth Cup – Leovanni e/w @ 25/1

Coronation Stakes – Cercene e/w @ 25/1

-DaveStevos

2025 Epsom Oaks Day Tips

I have already posted tips for the Oaks and Derby, you can check them out here. I’ll be covering Friday’s card on my own blog and Saturday’s action on the TXMarkets blog. Hopefully we can follow up on our 11/1 winning NAP last week, 2025 Epsom Oaks Day previews and tips are below.

1.30 – Surrey Stakes (Listed)

First of all, the weather. There was 6mm of rain at Epsom on Thursday morning and at the time of writing there were still showers in the air. How much they get remains to be seen but I imagine we might be racing on good to soft tomorrow. It certainly won’t be rattling quick.

The opening race on Derby weekend is this 7f Listed heat. Thankfully for us each way players, eight are due to go to post so we may as well have a go at one at a decent price. The one that fits the bill is the Adrian Keatley trained Francisco’s Piece.

By Mayson, this colt remains had a busy campaign at two. A winner on debut at Pontefract in May, he added a listed race at Chantilly in June before running poorly at Royal Ascot and Glorious Goodwood on good to firm ground.

Mid-Season Break

After a mid-season break, he came back for a backend campaign on softer ground and he placed in two listed races at 6f and 5.5f before shaping like he was ready for a step up to 7f on his final start of 2024 in a 6f listed race at Doncaster in October. He’s also related to a couple of 1m winners so that’s another indication that he should get this trip.

He now gets that extra furlong and Tom Marquand, who rode when he was short headed in a valuable novice at York last year, gets the leg up. Francisco’s Piece returns with his yard in excellent form. Ok, Keatley has had just one winner in the last fortnight but the form figures of his runners since May 28 read 4232201. At odds of 20/1, Francisco’s Piece is the e/w selection.

2025 Epsom Oaks Day Tip: Francisco’s Piece e/w @ 20/1 NB

2.05 – Woodcote Stakes (Class 2)

This class 2 conditions race for the 2yos rarely throws up a shock winner. Since 2005, only three horses at double figure odds have won but at the prices we play at, a place will do and I think Too Darn Good is interesting stepping up to 6f after a highly promising debut at Bath two weeks ago.

By Too Darn Hot, this colt had to come wide and got a bit outpaced around 2f out in that maiden but once Rob Hornby gave him a tap with the persuader around a furlong out, he picked up well and ran on strongly in the closing stages for a 2.25l fourth.

Dam Listed Winner

His dam was a listed winner over 5f and she herself is out of a listed 5f winner so there is lots of speed in his pedigree but Too Darn Hot has hopefully added enough stamina to ensure that 6f will be within his compass. It’s harder to predict whether he’ll handle a slight ease in the ground but his pedigree suggests it’s not out of the question.

Charlie Hills has had seventeen previous 2yo runners at Epsom and while only one of them won, nine others finished in the first four (seven in the first three). Hopefully Too Darn Good can hit the frame for him here at odds of 40/1.

2025 Epsom Oaks Day Tip: Too Darn Good e/w @ 40/1

2.40 – Coronation Cup (Group 1)

Just seven runners in this 1m4f Group 1 and it looks like a contest that will be dominated by the market leaders. The rain is in Caldangan’s favour and the French raider could be a tough nut to crack. Jan Brueghel is next best in the betting and one could argue that Bellum Justum is overpriced given that only a neck separated the two of them when they met at Goodwood last year.

However, with just two places on offer I’ll swerve this race. No bet.

2025 Epsom Oaks Day Tip: No Bet

3.15 – Nifty Fifty Handicap (Class 2)

Given his record fresh and his liking for a bit of easy ground, the locally trained C&D winner Simply Sondheim might be worth taking a chance on at a price in this 1m2f handicap. George Baker’s 6yo was pulled up lame when last seen at Doncaster in November but he’s had plenty of time to recover and with such a big pot on offer, there’s a good chance that Baker has targeted this.

Simply Sondheim’s only previous run here resulted in victory, admittedly on heavy ground. However, he has won on good to soft too and once there is some sort of an ease, he’ll be fine. He is 5lb higher than he was when winning here last September but he probably ran to 95+ that day so he should be capable of nicking some place money off 93 if he is ready to go for his return.

He won first time out in 2023 for George Boughey and he ran a fine race first time up last year for Baker when finishing fourth at Kempton. At odds of 22/1, Simply Sondheim is worth chancing e/w for small stakes.

2025 Epsom Oaks Day Tip: Simply Sondheim e/w @ 22/1 (4 places)

4.00 – Betfred Oaks (Group 1)

We have already backed Revoir at 10/1 for the Oaks and you can read why via the link provided in the introduction. The rain shouldn’t be an issue for her, hopefully she puts her best hoof forward and runs a big race.

2025 Epsom Oaks Day Tip: Revoir already advised e/w @ 10/1 NAP

-DaveStevos

2025 Epsom Derby & Oaks Ante-Post Tips

I said earlier on Twitter that my record in the Derby is poor but it seems I was being a touch harsh on myself. Last year I tipped Deira Mile for four places at 25/1 (NB) and he got the place so it hasn’t all been bad. I’m going to try to find a bit of e/w value in both races, my 2025 Epsom Derby and Oaks ante-post fancies are below, e/w singles and a small e/w double recommended. 

Friday – Epsom Oaks (Group 1)

Just nine fillies remained in the field for the Epsom Oaks on Sunday and Desert Flower is a warm order to maintain her unbeaten record. Rated 117, she has won G1s on her last two starts at a mile and now steps up markedly in trip to 1m4f. Will she stay? The jury is out for me.

Her sire Night Of Thunder was a top miler and his progeny have a winner to runner strike rate of 53% at 7f-9f. At 12-13f, that drops to 25%. Her dam was a 7f-1m1f winner that failed to stay 1m2f so whether her stamina will hold out remains to be seen. At the prices, I’d most definitely be a layer rather than a backer.

Beckett Can Strike

The last time I backed the winner in this race was back in 2013 when Talent won for Ralph Beckett. This year he runs Revoir and while she isn’t a huge price, I think she represents a bit of value at 10/1. Yes, she was narrowly beaten by Qilin Queen on her seasonal return in a Listed heat at Newbury over 1m2f but that was just the second run of her life and at this longer trip, she can reverse that form.

The assessor handed her a rating of 97 for that near miss so he thinks she has no chance here. I disagree and I think there could be heaps of improvement to come from her stepped up to 1m4f. Her sire, French Derby winner Study Of Man, has already produced a top class performer at this trip in Kalpana and her dam, Regardez, is a half-sister to the ill-fated Scope, a G1 winner over just short of 2m.

There’s a bit of rain forecast during the week at Epsom so there might be some cut in the ground but she won’t mind what the weather does. She won her maiden on heavy and it was good to firm at Newbury so it seems she handles any ground. At odds of 10/1, Revoir is the each way selection.

2025 Epsom Oaks Ante-Post Tip: Revoir e/w @ 10/1

Saturday – Epsom Derby (Group 1)

There should be a far bigger field in The Derby. Twenty were left in on Monday and all the money has been for the Ballydoyle Dubawi colt Delacroix. He has won both starts this season, in G3s over 1m2f at Leopardstown, and steps up to 1m4f for the first time. If, as expected, Ryan Moore rides, he will probably go off even shorter than the 11/4 he is now.

He’ll handle soft ground if the forecast rain arrives but it would be an unknown for the next three horses in the betting. The one I’ll take a punt on at a bigger price is the John Gosden trained Frankel colt, Nightwalker.

This lad has come up short in three stakes races at 8f-10.5f since winning his maiden at Yarmouth in September but, looking at how he has finished off those races, he could be a different proposition stepped up to 1m4f for the first time. His dam is a half-sister to the Leger winner Logician (who is also by Frankel) so his pedigree suggests he’ll improve for the longer trip too.

Outpaced

At York last time in the Dante he was drawn wide and dropped out. He travelled through the race lovely but got outpaced at the two furlong pole. However, he stayed on takingly in the final furlong and in the end he just missed third by less than half a length. He was closing on Damysus and Wimbledon Hawkeye all the way to the line and over this longer trip, he can turn that form around.

On his last start as a 2yo in the Autumn Stakes at Newmarket (1m, good to soft) he was also outpaced before running on nicely for third, 4l behind Delacroix and Stanhope Gardens. So, he has form with the right horses and while he has had five runs, I’m not sure we have seen the best of him yet. 

He reportedly handled the undulations of Epsom well in a piece of work last week and I am hoping the step up to 1m4f enables him to display his full ability. At odds of 25/1, Nightwalker is worth chancing e/w and I am also recommending a small e/w double with Revoir.

2025 Epsom Derby Tip: Nightwalker e/w @ 25/1

2025 Epsom Derby & Oaks E/W Double: Revoir @ 10/1 & Nightwalker @ 25/1

-DaveStevos

2025 Prix Du Jockey Club Tip

We backed Cercene for the Coronation Stakes yesterday and the 100s is now gone. She is now a best price of 50s, hopefully her preparation goes smoothly and she turns up in top form (preview here). This weekend, the Prix Du Jockey Club (aka The French Derby) is the highlight and I like the look of a lively outsider at 40/1.

Romanised is in the early stage of his career at stud and he had his first stakes winner last month with Zia Agnese, who landed the Group 3 Prix Cleopatre at Saint-Cloud. That was a 10.5f contest and I think it might be worth taking a chance on another one of Romanised’s progeny, Curragh Camp, as he steps up to that trip for the first time.

Unraced at two because of a minor issue, he made a very pleasing debut on the AW track at Chantilly back in February, winning by 4l over 1m. On his next start at the same venue he was stepped up in trip to 9f and into listed company and he found just Toto Mo Cen too good. He was left with too much to do in that contest but he stayed on well.

Graffard kept him to that distance for his turf debut after a two month break, again at Chantilly, where he took his chance in the Group 3 Prix Du Guiche. Held up again, he was doing his best work at the finish under a very considerate Soumillon ride and in the end he ran on for third, finishing 2.5l behind Cualificar, who re-opposes here and is 7/1.

I think Curragh Camp is capable of getting much closer to that rival over this extended 1m2f. He has run like he is crying out for the longer trip on his last two starts and his pedigree suggests it will be right up his street too. He’s a half brother to a 12.5f winner and a 2m hurdle winner and his dam is by Sea The Stars.

He’s had just three starts so he is open to more improvement than some of his more experienced rivals and if the weather forecast is correct, he should get good ground, which his trainer is sure he needs. He has a nice draw in stall 5 and if Stephane Pasquier doesn’t get too far back, Curragh Camp can make his presence felt at odds of 40/1.

2025 Prix Du Jockey Club Tip: Curragh Camp e/w @ 40/1 (4 places Ladbrokes)

-DaveStevos

2025 Coronation Stakes Ante-Post Tip

We went close to landing four places from five bets at the Curragh on Sunday but in the end, we had to make do with three. One of those places came via Cercene in the Irish 1000 Guineas and while I was going to hold off on tipping her up for this race until her future plans become more concrete, only a couple of firms are still offering 100/1 so at the odds, it has to be worth the risk.

In my opinion, Cercene’s run in the Guineas was far, far better than it looked. Yes, she got the place in third but when tipping her for the race, I was banking on there being a strong early gallop. Instead, we got the opposite.

David Egan was allowed to sit at the front and dictate and he knew it was in his interests to stack them up behind and turn the race into a sprint in the last couple of furlongs. His plan almost worked to perfection but Lake Victoria had the necessary natural speed to reel in California Dreamer in the closing stages to land the spoils.

Cercene raced keenly just off the pace and did exceptionally well to finish best of the rest in third given how the race unfolded. I think she is much more likely to get a proper pace to aim at Ascot and I don’t believe we’ll see how good she actually is until she gets a race run to suit. A bit like Goliath last year. 

100/1 is an insult of a price and if they do go lickety split early, she is more than capable of closing the 4l gap to Lake Victoria. At the prices, Cercene has to be worth chancing e/w, hopefully she takes her chance and gives us a good run for our money.

2025 Coronation Stakes Ante-Post Tip: Cercene e/w @ 100/1

-DaveStevos

2025 Curragh 1000 Guineas Meeting Tips

We failed to land a winner on Saturday but we couldn’t have come much closer. Arabian Dusk and Big Gossey were arguably unlucky not to win, as was the well backed Never Let Go but at least we got some e/w money at 28s, 20s and 33s. Cheers Again got no luck in running, the ground turned against Presence and we had two very frustrating fourths with Electric Storm and Rashabar.

On the upside, almost all of our bets were competitive so the radar is working to some extent. We go again tomorrow, my 2025 Curragh 1000 Guineas meeting tips are below.

1.55 – Marble Hill Stakes (Group 3)

Power Blue looks overpriced at 16/1 in this G3 for the 2yos. A winner of the opening 5f maiden at this venue back in March on soft, he ran to a similar level when getting to within 1.5l of Lady Iman in a Listed race back here earlier this month on good ground.

Ger Lyons’ filly has since boosted that form by winning a Group 3 at Naas and she is very well regarded by her trainer. Power Blue comes up against some unexposed types here, such as Albert Einstein and Andab, both of whom won on debut. However, they are stepping up in class and I am happy to take my chances on the sole horse in here that has already proved he can mix it at stakes level, especially when his odds are 16/1.

2025 Curragh 1000 Guineas meeting tip: Power Blue e/w @ 16/1

2.30 – Lanwades Stud Stakes (Group 2)

The returning Porta Fortuna is the top rated by some way here and if she can reproduce the form she showed at Newmarket in the Falmouth last summer, she should be up to giving weight and a beating to her rivals. However, if the rain that fell on Saturday has got into the ground, she might just be vulnerable.

One filly who certainly won’t mind a bit of an ease in the ground is Naomi Lapaglia. Bought for 475k Guineas in December, this 5yo daughter of Awtaad ran some excellent races in defeat in stakes company for Richard Spencer. It was a similar story on debut for Ger Lyons’ over this C&D when she finished a 2l third in the G3 Park Express behind One Look and Ecstatic.

Can she turn that form around? Well, a few of Lyons’ horses have needed the run on their returns whereas Paddy Twomey’s are usually gun barrel straight so I wouldn’t be surprised if she turned the tables with that rival. Will she be good enough to beat Porta Fortuna? Probably not, but if the ease in the ground causes her to fluff her lines, you never know. At odds of 10/1, Naomi Lapaglia is the e/w selection.

2025 Curragh 1000 Guineas meeting tip: Naomi Lapaglia e/w @ 10/1

3.05 – Tattersalls Gold Cup (Group 1)

The British raiders didn’t fare too badly yesterday and Royal Rhyme could give them more to shout about here. A five time winner, this son of Lope De Vega looks a shade too big to my eye at odds of 14/1.

His sole win last season came in a 1m2f G3 at Sandown on soft ground on his seasonal reappearance. He failed to fire on rattling quick ground on his next four starts but a return to easier conditions saw him run a fine race to finish third behind Anmaat in the 1m2f Champion Stakes at Ascot.

Karl Burke’s charge made his seasonal return in the G1 Prix Ganay at Longchamp last month. He ran another fine race despite racing a bit keenly and he was beaten just 2.25l by Sosie.

White Birch is a cracking horse and is probably the one to beat but I think the rest of these are much of a muchness and with ground to suit and that sharpener in France under his belt, Royal Rhyme is worth backing e/w at odds of 14/1. Fingers crossed for a good sup of rain for him tonight.

2025 Curragh 1000 Guineas meeting tip: Royal Rhyme e/w @ 14/1

3.40 – Irish 1000 Guineas (Group 1)

We have already bet Cercene for this race and she’s on the drift. I can’t believe she is 50s in a place now and I’ll be going in again at those odds.

As I mentioned in my original preview for this race, I think Tamam Desert has the potential to rate much higher than a 90 filly.

By Sea The Moon, her dam is a half-sister to Banimpire, a high class 3yo for Jim Bolger who won the Ribblesdale at Royal Ascot a few years back. That filly ran well to finish a 2.25l fifth in the Irish 1000 Guineas in 2011 so Tamam Desert has the pedigree, but does she have the ability?

I’m probably clutching at straws here but this filly has been on my radar ever since her debut. She looked a good horse that day despite finishing midfield and she managed to win at Galway second time up despite displaying plenty of greenness.

Shane Foley gave her something of an educational ride on her seasonal comeback in a 10.5f G3 at Naas, her first try in stakes company. It reminded me of the ride he gave Romanised at the same venue before he went on to cause a massive shock in the 2000 Guineas.

I think dropping back to 1m might suit this filly and while Cercene is my main hope, I am going to have a half-stakes e/w bet on Tamam Desert too at 150/1. Hopefully at least one of them can hit the frame.

2025 Curragh 1000 Guineas meeting tip: Tamam Desert 0.5pt e/w @ 150/1; Cercene already advised @ 25/1

-DaveStevos

2025 Curragh Saturday Tips

I have already posted a few e/w bets for Saturday on the TXMarkets blog, click here to see them. I also like a couple more bets at big odds at the Curragh tomorrow. See who I am backing below.

1.20 – Irish EBF Maiden (2yo)

Usually, I wouldn’t go near a maiden on a Saturday but I can’t resist having a go at Cool Azul in the opener at the Curragh. Andy Oliver has had only one juvenile runner this season and it ran poorly at Naas but he had a 2-3 with two first time out horses in a 3yo maiden at Navan last weekend and this horse is bred to be a speedy 2yo.

He is by the upwardly mobile sire Blue Point and out of an Iffraaj dam that won as a 2yo and went close first time out. His half-brother Last Crusader won on debut and was listed placed as a 2yo and his grand-dam is a half-sister to a 2yo Listed winner.

Billy Lee gets the leg up on Cool Azul and he is 10/80 with 21 top 4 finishes when riding 2yos for Oliver. Most of this yard’s 2yo winners have come at Dundalk but he’s had six at the Curragh and last season he had a 50/1 winner in the 2yo race on the Friday of this meeting. At 33/1, Cool Azul is worth taking a small chance on e/w.

2025 Curragh Saturday Tip: Cool Azul 0.5pt e/w @ 33/1

2.30 – Tulfarris Hotel Handicap (Premier)

He has to be forgiven a trio of below par runs this season but if he can rediscover the sort of form he was in this time last year, Cheers Again is surely capable of outrunning his odds of 25/1 effectively running off a mark of 75.

This horse first came to my attention when I was working for my other gig. I tipped him up for his penultimate start at Cork and he was backed off the boards before running poorly. The way he was ridden (prominently) suggested that connections had another day in mind and in hindsight, I should have known they’d more than likely be targeting a race at this venue.

A year ago, in the Emerald Mile on this card, Cheers Again was ridden more patiently but he endured a nightmare passage between the 2f and 1f markers. When he eventually got daylight he stayed on strongly for third but the leaders had flown. He was beaten 1.75l for the win off 89, he is effectively 15lb lower now and he looks well worth a go over this 1m2f trip.

At odds of 25/1, hopefully Cheers Again can hit the frame.

2025 Curragh Saturday Tip: Cheers Again e/w @ 25/1 (5 places)

4.15 – Emerald Mile Handicap (Premier)

Now that he is back on better ground for the first time this season, maybe Presence can outrun her long odds for Jessie Harrington and Keithen Kennedy.

The 4yo daughter of New Bay has struggled both starts this season on soft, over 1m here and over 1m2f at Cork. However, the last time she ran over 1m on good ground was at this track last October and she hacked up by 3.25l off a mark of 74.

After that run she was hiked up 9lb and she just missed out on black type in a 1m Listed heat at Naas, finishing fourth of 16 and beaten just 2.75l for the win. The handicapper raised her to 92 for that run but after her two poor runs this term, she is back down to 88 and with her rider’s claim, she is effectively running off 83.

Her career form figures on yielding or quicker read 34421 and she should get her favoured underfoot conditions here. At odds of 33/1, Presence is worth chancing e/w.

2025 Curragh & Haydock Saturday Tip: Presence e/w @ 33/1 (5 places)

-DaveStevos

2025 Irish 1000 & 2000 Guineas Tips

We managed to find another nice winner at the weekend with Eydon at 16s. This weekend is one of my favourite of the flat season with the Irish 1000 & 2000 Guineas at the Curragh. I have decided to post two ante-post selections before declarations for the 2000 tomorrow, find out who I am backing below.

2025 Irish 2000 Guineas

First up on Saturday are the colts and the one that stands out like a sore thumb is Rashabar. Odds of 20/1 about the British raider look very generous to me given the level of form he has shown. A shock winner of the Coventry Stakes at Ascot last year, he more than proved that was no fluke in his subsequent 2yo starts.

At Deauville in the 6f Prix Morny he pushed Whistlejacket the whole way. He coped well with the step up to 7f on his final 2yo start at Longchamp in the Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere when just a neck behind Camille Pissarro who has since finished third in the French Guineas. Behind him in fourth was Field Of Gold, the 4/5 fav here and runner up at Newmarket in the English 2000 Guineas last time out. Solid form.

On his seasonal return Rashabar was a neck behind Jonquil in the Greenham and he was beaten a head by Henri Matisse at Longchamp in the French Guineas. How Rashabar is such a big price is a head-scratcher. Yes, he is untried at a mile but I can’t see why he won’t get it. He’s by Holy Roman Emperor, the sire of the 2019 winner Romanised and his Camelot dam is a half to two 1m6f winners.

At odds of 20/1, Rashabar looks a cracking e/w bet.

2025 Irish 2000 Guineas Tip: Rashabar e/w @ 20/1

2025 Irish 1000 Guineas

The fillies take centre stage on Sunday and I am torn between two. Ever since her debut at Leopardstown I’ve thought Tamam Desert was a high-class filly. She may have finished tenth but the way she finished off her race suggested she had lots of ability. She won a maiden at Galway on her second start, overcoming greenness and her run on her seasonal return in a Naas listed heat did not dampen my enthusiasm for her.

I might back her on the day if there are extra places on offer but I have thought Cercene was an ideal type for this race ever since her maiden win at Naas last September and she has run crackers on both outings this term.

On her seasonal reappearance at Leopardstown over 7f (we backed her) she met trouble in running and flew home to finish third, just 1.75l behind Swelter, the 4/1 second favourite here. If that race were over 1m, she would have beaten her.

The daughter of Australia, whose dam is a half-sister to the dam of the top class miler Mohaather, stepped up to a mile at this venue on her next start in the G3 Athasi Stakes. She was a bit keen early which didn’t help but she stayed on well to get back up for second, finishing 0.5l behind the winner Atsila.

If Cercene gets a strong early pace she will hopefully settle better. I think she has a very nice turn of foot and I can see her staying on fast and late in the final furlong. On that run behind Swelter she looks massively overpriced at 25/1 and at those odds, she has to be worth chancing e/w.

2025 Irish 1000 Guineas Tip: Cercene e/w @ 25/1; I am also recommending a small e/w double on Cercene and Rashabar.

-DaveStevos

2025 York Dante Meeting Thursday Preview

Rousing Encore landed the NB in fine style on Wednesday. However, the other three horses were bitterly disappointing so we had to make do with just the one winner. Hopefully we can add to it on Day 2. My 2025 York Dante Meeting Thursday preview and tips are below.

2.10 – Lindum York Handicap (Class 2)

The one I like at a big price in this sprint is the speedy Tees Spirit. Trained by Adrian Nicholls, this horse is a very talented performer on his day. A nine time winner, he won three times last season, all at five furlongs on fast ground.

He ran in this race last season when ridden by Mia Nicholls and he was beaten just 2.25l off a mark of 99. She was taking off 5lb so he was effectively running off 94, with Jack Nicholls taking off 7lb this time he is effectively a pound lower.

Jack has a fine record when riding for his Dad. He’s had twelve rides resulting in three wins and another six top four finishes. Yes, it’s a small sample size but so far, he has hit the frame in 75% of his rides for the yard. A recent spin at Ripon should have blown away any cobwebs, he’s nicely drawn and with five places on offer, Tees Spirit is worth chancing e/w at odds of 25/1.

2025 York Dante Meeting Thursday Tip: Tees Spirit e/w @ 25/1 (5 places) NAP

2.42 – Hambleton Handicap (Class 2)

Stanage is interesting at a price in this 1m handicap. Trained by Mick Easterby, who loves having winners on the Knavesmire, this son of Kingman disappointed on his last start at Newmarket. However, the drop to 6f was not in his favour and he had previously run really well over 7f on his first two starts for the yard.

In April he was beaten just 1.25l at the same venue off 87 over 7f and on his stable debut in March, he won at 25/1 over 7f at Doncaster in a first time hood and that goes back on for the first time since today.

Stanage went close in a 1m Windsor maiden on quick ground when trained by the Gosdens. His dam won at a mile and his brother Coppice won at a mile so there could be more to come at this trip. At odds of 16/1, Stanage is the e/w selection.

2025 York Dante Meeting Thursday Tip: Stanage e/w @ 16/1 (4 places)

3.13 – Middleton Stakes (Group 2)

Royal Dress was a money spinner for us last year and it is notable that Ben Coen has come over to resurrect their partnership. He gave her a peach when winning on her seasonal reappearance last season when we were on at 33/1. She has won first time up for the last two seasons but her very best form has come on ground with a bit of juice in it and her record on good to firm does not inspire confidence.

To be honest, it is hard to look past the claims of the top three or four in the market. See The Fire won over 9f on fast ground last year and both Beautiful Love and Nakheel have rock solid stakes form in the book. They’ll probably fight it out for the win so I’m happy to swerve this. No bet.

2025 York Dante Meeting Thursday Tip: No bet

3.45 – Dante Stakes (Group 2)

Ballydoyle won yet another stakes race with Whirl on Day 1 and The Lion In Winter is a short price to add another. A G3 winner over 7f here when last seen in August (Wimbledon Hawkeye second), he should be suited by the step up to 10.5f and his rivals will be hoping that he needs this run.

He is up against Wimbledon Hawkeye again here and that horse will be testing his Derby credentials stepping up to this trip for the first time. I think he is a fine horse and I think the longer distance will suit but it is only twelve days since he ran in the Guineas.

Alpine Train extended his unbeaten record to three, also at the Guineas meeting. He has won all of his starts by 3l or more and he is clearly an exciting prospect. He is also proven at the trip, which can’t be said for his two main market rivals.

Bigger Odds

Is there anything lurking at bigger odds? The one that catches my eye is Ed Walker’s Mister Rizz. Unraced at two, he was narrowly beaten at 13/8 on debut at Kempton (1m) but the much more experienced winner winner is now rated in the 90s so in hindsight, it was a fine effort.

He got off the mark in a three runner maiden in smooth style at Doncaster earlier this month and now takes a big step up in class. He’s certainly bred for this sort of standard, being by top sire Lope De Vega and out of a G2 winner, so he may be able to compete at this level. It’s a tough race but at odds of 40/1, Mister Rizz is worth chancing e/w for small stakes.

2025 York Dante Meeting Thursday Tip: Mister Rizz e/w @ 40/1

4.18 – Westow Stakes (Listed)

A rating of 93 leaves Sir Yoshi with a bit to find but he ran the best race of his life to finish a close third in a listed race over C&D last August. He finished 1.5l behind the winner Tropical Storm, a 7/2 shot here. 1.25l ahead of him in second was subsequent G1 winner Magnum Force, now rated 112. Mr Lightside was a neck behind him in fourth and he’s 6/1 here so surely, Sir Yoshi is too big at 16s.

He hasn’t repeated that level of form in three runs since but he hasn’t had 5f on good to firm ground. I’d imagine David Marnane has had this race circled in the calendar ever since that run here last year and his mark may underestimate his ability.

His three runs on good to firm have been excellent efforts, hopefully he can produce another one here. At odds of 16/1, Sir Yoshi is the e/w selection.

2025 York Dante Meeting Thursday Tip: Sir Yoshi e/w @ 16/1 NB

-DaveStevos

2025 York Dante Meeting Wednesday Preview

Neither of our Longchamp fancies on Sunday managed to land a blow. We are back on home soil this week and we are in for some cracking racing on the Knavesmire. My 2025 York Dante Meeting Wednesday preview and tips are below.

2.10 – Jorvik Handicap (Class 2)

This time two years ago I was on one of the worst runs of my tipping career and it was ended by Hayley Turner and Scampi in this contest at odds of 16/1. The same owners run La Pulga in the race this year and I think he is capable of outrunning his odds of 22/1 for Charlie Johnston and Jason Hart.

This son of Kodiac has got his head in front four times on turf, so he knows how to win. His last two victories on grass have come at 13f and 12f on good to firm ground off 82 and 85 respectively. He comes into this rated 90, so he’ll need a career best but the 6yo ran a cracker off this rating on his seasonal reappearance at Musselburgh when beaten just 2.75l and hopefully, he’ll come on for that run.

Admittedly, he has run twice at York before and they were tame efforts but he had excuses both times. On the first occasion, tacky ground over a mile didn’t suit and the second run came over two miles, a trip that probably stretches him. This time, he will have his optimum trip and ground and the last time he ran over 1m4f on good ground, he won by 4l. Hopefully he’s been lined up for this race. If he has, he might be able to hit the frame at odds of 22/1.

2025 York Dante Meeting Wednesday Tip: La Pulga e/w @ 22/1 (4 places) NAP

2.42 – Churchill Tyres Handicap (Class 2)

If he is in the mood and on a going day, Rousing Encore is more than capable of going well here off a mark of 82. Formerly trained by Richard Fahey, he has been pretty consistent since joining Ruth Carr and while he has finished sixth and fifth on his two starts this season, he hasn’t been beaten that far.

At Newbury on his seasonal reappearance he was beaten just 2.5l off 84 and at Leicester last month he was beaten 3.5l off 83. In that race he was ridden a lot more prominently than usual and I am not sure those tactics suit him.

For his last win, at Ayr in October, he was waited with in midfield and it was a similar gameplan when he was narrowly denied in a hot handicap at Doncaster in November. Hopefully, they’ll go a strong gallop here and James Sullivan will be able to get his mount to settle off the pace. If that happens, Rousing Encore can hopefully finish strongly for place money at least at odds of 20/1.

2025 York Dante Meeting Wednesday Tip: Rousing Encore e/w @ 20/1 (5 places) NB

3.13 – Duke Of York Clipper Stakes (Group 2)

She admittedly has a bit to find on the figures but if she is fit for her seasonal reappearance, Rage Of Bamby is capable of outrunning her odds of 28/1. Trained by Eve Johnson Houghton, we backed this mare when she won over C&D last season.

She then went on to run with credit in three listed races, finishing a close second at Ayr behind Star Of Lady M and then winning at Newmarket, beating the 104 rated Marine Wave by a neck. She has run well fresh before, which is a plus, she has course form figures of 251 and she loves quick ground.

Inisherin and Elite Status will probably be tough to topple but with three places on offer, hopefully Rage Of Bamby can make a bold bid and hang on for a place. A small e/w bet is advised at odds of 28/1.

2025 York Dante Meeting Wednesday Tip: Rage Of Bamby e/w @ 28/1

3.45 – Musidora Stakes (Group 3)

This will probably be another Group race win for Ballydoyle and with just seven runners, I am happy to leave it alone. No Bet.

2025 York Dante Meeting Wednesday Tip: No Bet

4.18 – Conundrum Handicap (Class 3)

As regular readers will know, I am usually not a fan of handicap debutants. However, in these early season 3yo handicaps it is a different scenario because usually, a lot of the runners are having their first starts in handicap company.

The one I am going to chance at a decent price is the Tim Easterby trained Double Parked. This gelded son of Bated Breath didn’t show a whole lot in his first two runs as a 2yo. However, he has improved no end for a winter  break and after two fine efforts in Newcastle novices over 6f and 7f, he got off the mark on his return to the turf on good to firm ground at Redcar earlier this month.

In that Redcar race he beat Camino Del Ray off level weights by a head and that rival is rated 79. They pulled 12l clear of Evangelic in fourth, a 73 rated horse. The handicapper left Double Parked on the same mark of 75 after that win, which seems a bit generous, so there could be a bit of wriggle room off that rating. He has a nice draw in stall 8, Duran Fentiman prefers him to his stablemate and at odds of 22/1, Double Parked is the e/w selection.

2025 York Dante Meeting Wednesday Tip: Double Parked e/w @ 22/1 (4 places)

-DaveStevos

2025 Newmarket 1000 Guineas Ante-Post Tip

I had set my stall out to put up an e/w Guineas double this evening. However, after spending the best part of two hours studying the 2000, I have decided to just focus on the 1000. There are too many unknowns regarding the participation of a lot of the outsiders in the 2000 Guineas so we’ll just have to make do with finding a bit of e/w value in the 1000.

The unbeaten Godolphin filly Desert Flower is odds on with a few firms. She was a brilliant two year old, winning four from four and producing a scintillating display to win the Fillies’ Mile on her final start of 2024. She’s clearly a very talented horse and if she has trained on, she is the one to beat.

Ballydoyle’s leading hope is also unbeaten. Lake Victoria, by Frankel and out of the brilliant Ontoawinner sprinter Quiet Reflection, is already a three time G1 winner. She saw out the mile well in the Breeders’ Cup and to be honest, I am surprised that she is as big as 4/1. That’s not big enough for us though and I am going to roll the dice with one at a far bigger price.

Taking On The Big Guns

Jack Channon is taking on the big guns here with Hey Boo. She is by Iffraaj, a sire who has produced top class milers Ribchester, Audience and the brilliant 2yo sprinter and current Coolmore sire, Wootton Bassett. As an aside, his covering fee is just £10k now. Surely one of the biggest bargains out there.

Hey Boo’s half-sister is a Group 3 winner and while the dam side of her pedigree isn’t as illustrious as some of her rivals, she is still a nicely enough bred filly. She must have been too big to run as a two year old as she didn’t make her debut until February this year at Chelmsford. She won that 7f novice by 0.75l beating a 72 rated rival, hardly Guineas worthy form I hear you say.

She carried a penalty on her next start in March over the came C&D and it was a similar outcome. The third came out and won a maiden at Doncaster’s Lincoln meeting on her next start so there is a little bit more substance to that form.

In both of those AW wins she didn’t do any more than she had to but the bookies weren’t too impressed and she was sent off at 40/1 for her turf debut in the Fred Darling at Newbury (the race that produced last year’s 1000 Guineas winner).

Ran On Strongly

Hey Boo broke nicely but she raced keenly for the first couple of furlongs. Once the two groups merged and she got a bit of cover she settled well and while she proved no match for the winner Duty First, she ran on strongly in the closing stages to finish a clear second and it looked to my eye that she was only starting to hit top gear when she crossed the line.

On the evidence of that effort, this filly is going to be even better stepped up to a mile. She won’t get away with racing as keenly in this race but if her rider can get her covered up early, she should settle just fine.

Straight To The Guineas

After her Newbury run Jack Channon stated “It'll be straight to the Guineas. I'm delighted with her. It was Hey Boo's first time on the grass after two wins on the all-weather and she'll come on a ton. She'll improve for the mile and I wouldn't swap her.”

We know she’ll definitely run barring misfortune, the trainer and I agree that she’ll improve for the mile and while she hasn’t got the profile of a typical Guineas’ winner, I think she could well outrun her odds of 66/1. Hopefully she can sneak into the places.

2025 Newmarket 1000 Guineas Ante-Post Tip: Hey Boo e/w @ 66/1

-DaveStevos

2025 Irish Grand National Ante-Post Tip

It feels like a lifetime ago that we backed Lord Lariat to win the Irish National at 80/1 in 2022. We have come up dry in the last two renewals but I am hoping that this 100/1 shot can give us a run for our money after all the rain that has fallen in the last couple of days.

Back in January we backed Macs Charm for the Thyestes Chase at Gowran. I thought he was well handicapped off 135 and that the ground had come right for him but he didn’t jump brilliantly and he ended up finishing eighth, 32l behind the subsequent Aintree National winner Nick Rockett and 8l behind Yeah Man in fourth.

Weak In The Betting

Given how weak he was in the market that day, just like he was when finishing seventh in the National Trial at Punchestown last time out, I’m not sure he was fully wound up for those contests. If he gets into the race on Easter Monday, which he should do (needs six to come out), surely he’ll be trying his hardest.

The rain that has fallen, with more due to come, is in his favour and he is now 5lb lower than when winning at this meeting in 2023. He’s also entered in that race on Monday but surely that’s just a contingency plan in case he doesn’t get into the big one.

Surprisingly, this will be the first time he has raced at Fairyhouse since that impressive win and that was the last time he got his head in front. I’m not sure he wants bottomless ground at this trip but I’d imagine it should be somewhere between yielding to soft and if it is Macs Charm could outrun his price of 100/1. At those odds, he's worth chancing e/w for small stakes. Fingers crossed he gets in. 

2025 Irish Grand National Ante-Post Tip: Macs Charm e/w @ 100/1 (5 places)

-DaveStevos

2025 Newmarket Craven Meeting Wednesday Tips

A dreaded blank on Tuesday. Probe was never put into the race, watch out for him in the coming weeks. The Last Galileo didn’t handle the soft ground and the same sentiment applied to Biniorella Bay. Hopefully we can turn the ship around on Wednesday, my 2025 Newmarket Craven Meeting Wednesday tips are blow.

1.50 – Bet365 Handicap (Class 2)

Many two year olds, especially sprinters, do not improve as they get older and that makes these early 3yo races very tricky to unpick. The one I’ll take a chance on at around 11/1 is the Hello Youmzain colt Gallant.

Trained by in form Andrew Balding, this horse has had a pipe opener on the AW when finishing 5.5l behind Diablo Rojo, a horse we backed last weekend in the Greenham Stakes. Gallant raced a bit keenly that day and it looked as though he’d come on plenty for the run.

He won a novice at Kempton last year, beating the now 95 rated West Acre by almost 2l. The third home is also now rated in the 90s so it was a pretty impressive performance. Gallant’s sole turf start came on debut at Salisbury and he was well beaten in fifth but the ground was good to firm that day.

His half-siblings Straight Right and Stone Roses showed their best turf form on ground with cut in it and his sire won a Group 1 on soft so I am hoping he’ll relish the rain-softened turf at Newmarket on Wednesday. At odds of 11/1, hopefully Gallant can sneak into the frame.

2025 Newmarket Craven Meeting Wednesday Tip: Gallant e/w @ 11/1 (4 places)

2.25 – Wood Ditton Maiden Stakes (Class 2)

An even bigger guessing game than the opener. This is a maiden for 3yos that have never run so similar to the Brocklesby, I’ll be trying to find one that might run well based mostly on breeding. The current fav, Altareq, is by the mighty Frankel and out of a half-sister to Awtaad so he certainly makes plenty of appeal on paper.

At bigger odds, High Stock has a really interesting page. Andrew Balding’s colt is by Dubawi, who needs no introduction. His unraced dam, Prosperine, is by the Japanese sire Hat Trick and she is a half sister to That Which Is Not (dam of stakes winners Yosemite Valley and Pid Bazile), Eccentricity (dam of stakes placed Alder & Radiantly), Flare Of Firelight (dam of G2 winner Threat) and Tymore (dam of G2 winner L’Astronome).

This suggests that while Prosperine hasn’t yet produced a top horse, there is every chance that she might and using Dubawi has surely increased her prospects of producing a good animal. At odds of 12/1, hopefully High Stock is the one.

2025 Newmarket Craven Meeting Wednesday Tip: High Stock e/w @ 12/1

3.00 – Abernant Stakes (Group 3)

Our old mate Run To Freedom makes a long awaited return to the track in this 6f Group 3. He only ran once last season so he must have suffered some sort of setback. Hopefully he retains all his ability and shows up nicely here but I’ll hold off on backing him today as there is a good chance he’ll need this run.

The fav Romantic Style will probably be hard to beat here but the likes of Sajir will enjoy the soft ground too so it isn’t a foregone conclusion. However, with just seven runners and two places on offer, his is a race I’ll be swerving. If Run To Freedom runs a nice race, that’ll do for me.

2025 Newmarket Craven Meeting Wednesday Tip: No bet

3.35 – Craven Stakes (Group 3)

We found Haatem at 16/1 in last year’s Craven Stakes, hopefully we can repeat the trick. Wimbledon Hawkeye has been very well backed after the rain. We almost landed a big win with this horse in the Acomb last year at York but we had to settle for the place money in second behind The Lion In Winter. Soft ground is fine for this son of Kameko, who is reportedly being trained with a tilt at the Epsom Derby in mind.

He looked like a mile was plenty sharp enough for him in the Futurity last year so he might already need further. The next two in the betting have to prove they handle easy ground and Field Of Gold is another one who has done his winning on a sounder surface than he’ll encounter here.

The most interesting one at a price is The Waco Kid. Trained by Hugo Palmer, this horse won his novice on fast ground at Newbury but his career best performance came on his sole start on soft and it came last September at this venue over 7f in the G3 Tattersalls Stakes.

He’s by Mehmas, who is a big speed influence, but his dam is by Galileo and she’s a half-sister to Kameko, so a mile should be well within his compass. You can put a line through his last run in the Breeders’ Cup as the ground was firm and the tight, turning track may not have been to his liking.

This test should suit him much better, he’ll love the ground and we know he likes the undulations of Newmarket. With a rating of 109 he won’t have to improve that much to hit the frame here and at odds of 25/1, The Waco Kid is worth backing e/w.

2025 Newmarket Craven Meeting Wednesday Tip: The Waco Kid e/w @ 25/1 NAP

-DaveStevos

2025 Newmarket Craven Meeting Tuesday Tips

Two places on Saturday, with both drifting. Betty Clover ended up at 80s and our NAP Flash de Touzaine returned at 33s. It just goes to show, market weakness does not always equate a poor performance. In fact, with best odds guaranteed it results in a Brucey bonus. Now, we switch our focus to flat HQ, Dave’s 2025 Newmarket Craven Meeting Tuesday preview and tips are below.

1.50 – Weatherbys Handicap (Class 2)

With rain forecast overnight, it might be worth taking a chance on Probe in this open looking handicap. Trained by Jennie Candlish, this former C&D winner has slipped to a dangerous mark. He wasn’t beaten all that far on his last start off 90 at Doncaster and the assessor handed him another 2lb back after that run.

The son of Kingman now races off 88, 2lb lower than he was when winning a big pot over C&D in May 2023. He was beaten a length in this race off the same mark two weeks earlier and this will be his first time back at HQ since. Those two runs came on good to soft and it is currently quicker than that at Newmarket but the app I use is showing up to 16mm of rain in the early hours and if they get that, it should take any jar out of the ground.

Probe has run well on good to firm before, so all is not lost if the rain misses. However, in an ideal world they’ll get even more than forecast and if that happens, it will enhance his chance. Kieran O’Neill rode for that previous C&D win and he’s back on board today so, at odds of 20/1, Probe is the e/w selection.

2025 Newmarket Craven Meeting Tuesday Tip: Probe e/w @ 20/1 (4 places) NAP

2.25 – Feilden Stakes (Listed)

The first pattern race of the week is this 1m1f listed heat for 3yos only. Masai Moon is a warm order for Appleby and Buick but others in here have achieved more. On form, Nightwalker and Green Storm set the standard. However, they are priced up at 11/2 and 7/1 respectively, not much use to us.

Eight run here, so in the hope that he has improved plenty from two to three I am going to back Last Galileo e/w. He got off the mark at the second attempt at Ayr, knuckling down to see off Hornsea Bay. That rival is rated 88 and had previously won on debut by 3L so there is at least a little bit of substance to the form.

Last Galileo is obviously by a top sire and his full siblings Delphi and Credenza earned black type as 3yos. Karl Burke nicked third with an unconsidered 50/1 shot in this last year, hopefully he can repeat the trick with Last Galileo at odds of 33/1.

2025 Newmarket Craven Meeting Tuesday Tip: Last Galileo e/w @ 33/1 NB

3.00 – Earl Of Sefton Stakes (Group 3)

Charlie Appleby has won the last three renewals of this race and in all honesty, he’ll probably win it again. He fires two bullets this year and given how little there is between them on paper, the second string First Conquest might represent the value at 8/1 (stablemate is 13/8).

Ambiente Friendly looks the chief danger and indeed, he is top rated by 5lb. With just six runners and only two places on offer, this is a race I am happy to just watch. No bet.

2025 Newmarket Craven Meeting Tuesday Tip: No bet

3.35 – Nell Gwyn Stakes (Group 3)

We managed to nail Pretty Crystal in this last year at 18/1 and this year, I am going to take a chance on one at even bigger odds. With a rating of 90, Biniorella Bay has no chance on paper of beating the likes of Arabian Dusk (108) and Celestial Orbit (104). However, she has been racing on slow ground since winning a novice impressively on good to firm on the July course here last June and she could be capable of much better now back on what should be a sounder surface.

It must be said that the form of that novice win didn’t work out but Clover’s filly proved herself to be smart when she was beaten just 2l in a 7f Deauville G3 last July despite encountering traffic problems. The ground was possibly too soft when she finished a 3.5l fourth in a Goodwood G3 in August and she probably wasn’t suited by the AW when running below par at Chelmsford in October.

By New Bay, her dam is out of a half-sister to the top class Postponed so the bloodline is there and Jack Mitchell returns to the plate for the first time since her novice win. All of the top eight horses in the betting lack a run, so my hope is that Clover has this filly as fit as possible with the aim of sneaking some precious black type. At odds of 50/1, Biniorella Bay is the e/w selection.

2025 Newmarket Craven Meeting Tuesday Tip: Biniorella Bay e/w @ 50/1

-DaveStevos

2025 Aintree Grand National Meeting Day 2

Now it is time for our 2025 Aintree Grand National meeting Day 2 tips, see who Dave fancies below.

1.45 – Mildmay Novices’ Chase (Grade 1)

The one that looks a shade overpriced in the opener is Jordans. Trained by Joseph O’Brien, this 6yo ran a decent race to finish fifth in the Plate at Cheltenham last month. To be honest, I was surprised he went down that route because on his previous start at Limerick, he shaped as though he’d be well up to being competitive in Grade 1 company.

In that 19.5f contest he was held up off the pace and finished off very nicely to take second, 4l behind Impaire Et Passe and we all saw what he did here on Day 1.

The question is, will Jordans stay this much longer trip? He is by Coastal Path and out of a Network dam, so he is bred along similar lines to the likes of Ideal Des Bordes and Job, two horses that have both won over 3m plus. His Limerick effort suggested he’d stay further and with odds of 18/1 available, it is worth taking the chance that he does.

2025 Aintree Grand National meeting Day 2 Tip: Jordans e/w @ 18/1  

2.20 – W Hill Handicap Hurdle (Premier)

This is wide open. Elliott and Skelton have a decent recent record in it and they have three runners between them this year. Skelton runs two, the beaten Coral Cup gamble Be Aware with Harry Skelton on board and the mare Listentoyourheart, who will be partnered by the 7lb claimer Harry Atkins.

Clearly, they think Be Aware is well handicapped given the money that came at Cheltenham but he’s just 7/1 and this looks a tough assignment for Listentoyourheart on her handicap debut. Beacon Edge is Gordon Elliott’s sole representative and while he should run his race, it is hard to argue that he is well treated off 145.

One that might go well at bigger odds is the Jonathan Sweeney trained Western Walk. Back in May he finished a close up fourth in a hot 2m4f handicap at the Punchestown Festival off 132, just his third handicap start. He then followed that up with a fine second off a pound higher at Ballinrobe over 2m6f.

Beacon Edge finished 1.25l ahead of Western Walk at Punchestown and Sweeney’s charge is weighted to turn that around. He had a spin around Naas four weeks ago, which will have blown away any cobwebs, and while he stays further than this, I am hoping they go a good gallop early and he finishes off strongly.

His form figures on ground with good in the description over hurdles read 2412 and while he is an 8yo, he is relatively lightly raced so there might be a bit more to come from him. At odds of 28/1, Western Walk is the e/w selection.

2025 Aintree Grand National meeting Day 2 Tip: Western Walk e/w @ 28/1 (5 places) NB

2.55 – Top Novice’ Hurdle (Grade 1)

A couple of the main protagonists from the Supreme rock up in this 16.5f Grade 1. Romeo Coolio, who finished third, and Salavator Mundi, who was 11l behind that rival back in fifth are 11/8 and 6/1 respectively. At 3/1 is Fergal O’Brien’s Tripoli Flyer, who swerved the Supreme on account of the easy ground. He ran a cracker in a Grade 2 bumper at this meeting last year and this test could be ideal for him. For me, he’s probably the one to beat.

The interesting one at bigger odds is the rapid improver, Jet To Vegas. Trained by Lucinda Russell, who traditionally does well at this festival, this son of Jetaway comes here on the back of a maiden hurdle win at Ayr (16f, soft) and a Grade 2 win at Kelso, where he lowered the colours of a well-backed Willie Mullins horse.

Now, this horse does have a tendency to jump a bit right handed but it hasn’t stopped him from winning on left-handed tracks the last twice. The handicapper gave him a rating of 137 for that Kelso victory, so he needs to improve again on paper, but he’s done nothing but improve on his last couple of starts so the trend could continue. At odds of 16/1, Jet To Vegas is the e/w selection.

2025 Aintree Grand National meeting Day 2 Tip: Jet To Vegas e/w @ 16/1

3.30 – Melling Chase (grade 1)

Just four runners and a race I will not be getting involved in. No strong opinion and no bet.

2025 Aintree Grand National meeting Day 2 Tip: No bet

4.05 – Topham Handicap Chase (Premier)

The one I’ve had my eye on for some time for this race is Fantastic Lady. Trained by Nicky Henderson, this 10yo daughter of Network has a fine record over the National fences. She was a touch unlucky to unseat at the first in this race in 2022 but since then, she has finished second and sixth in this in 2023 and 2024, and she’s just 1lb higher than when beaten 1.75l in that 2023 renewal.

All of her previous completed runs over these fences have come on soft or heavy ground. This will be the first time she gets ground with good in the description and four of her five career wins have come on that sort of a surface. James Bowen has won on her before, her owner is 5/20 with seven top 4 finishes at Aintree and if this mare gets a clear passage, she can hit the frame at odds of 25/1.

2025 Aintree Grand National meeting Day 2 Tip: Fantastic Lady e/w @ 25/1 (6 places) NAP

4.40 – Sefton Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 1)

A very hard race to assess. Mister Meggitt hosed up in a 2m4f novice here on good ground in November on his seasonal reappearance and he has been freshened up for a tilt at this. However, he’s no banker to stay 3m on breeding and the fact that connections have decided to stick a tongue strap on is another cause for concern for his backers.

A lot of runners here are stepping up to 3m for the first time which further muddies the water. Julius Des Pictons is one of those but he has run blinders on both starts at 2m4f and while he was beaten in a listed hurdle at Exeter on his last start, that was over 2m.

He is by Cokoriko, a big stamina influence. His dam is unraced and there is scant information about her lineage online but she is by the same sire as Houblon Des Obeaux, a strong stayer. Julius Des Pictons finished just 0.75l behind Western Knight on his UK debut in an Uttoxeter maiden back in November on good ground over 2m4f yet his is over twice the odds of that rival on identical terms.

This isn’t one for maximum stakes but at 40/1, a small e/w interest is advised.

2025 Aintree Grand National meeting Day 2 Tip: Julius Des Pictons e/w @ 40/1 (4 places)

-DaveStevos

2025 Aintree Grand National Meeting Day 1

We almost made an incredible start to the flat season on Saturday. Our 50/1 Brocklesby fancy Son Of Sarabi was beat a nose into second. However, our luck changed with our 33/1 NB Pearl Eye who was awarded the Spring Mile by the stewards (SP 50/1). On Sunday at Leopardstown Cercene ensured we didn’t go home empty handed, placing at 40s. I look forward to seeing how she'll be priced up for the Irish 1000 Guineas. Now it is time for our 2025 Aintree Grand National meeting day 1 tips, see who Dave fancies below.

1.45 – Manifesto Novices’ Chase (Grade 1)

Jango Baie had a hard race at Cheltenham and while Impaire Et Passe is fresh, his jumping makes him hard to trust implicitly. I am a big fan of Croke Park and Gordon Elliott’s decision to swerve the festival and come here instead might pay handsome dividends.

In the hope that a couple of the market leaders misfire, I’m going to take a chance on The Kalooki Kid here for Nicky Richards and Danny McMenamin. A mid-120s hurdler, this grey son of Gentlewave has proved to be a much better chaser and he has won both of his last starts at around this trip.

He got off the mark over 19f at Doncaster in his second chase start in a novice handicap, winning easily by 5.5l off 124. A 7lb rise wasn’t enough to stop him following up at Musselburgh where he beat a decent handicapper in Saint Segal and he now comes into this race rated 138.

Clearly, he needs to improve again to trouble the best of these but he’s fresh, he’s still relatively young and there could easily be more to come. At odds of 25/1, The Kalooki Kid is the each way selection.

2025 Aintree Grand National meeting Day 1 Tip: The Kalooki Kid e/w @ 25/1

2.20 – Boodles 4yo Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 1)

He isn’t a massive price but if Wendrock can reproduce the form of his Leopardstown maiden win when he beat subsequent Grade 1 runner up Galileo Dame, I think he can go very close here at odds of 11/1.

Yes, he finished 7.5l behind Putyourhandstogether in the juvenile handicap at Cheltenham but he’s now 6lb better off with that rival and Gordon Elliott’s horses are in better form now. Wendrock was 10 horses wide coming into the final turn and ended up making his challenge up the inner. It wasn’t Jack Kennedy’s finest hour and I suspect he may have still been feeling the effects of the injury that almost ruled him out of the festival.

When he won at Leopardstown Sam Ewing always had him close to the pace and I am hoping that similar tactics are employed here. If they are, hopefully Wendrock will hit the frame on ground he should enjoy at odds of 11/1.

2025 Aintree Grand National meeting Day 1 Tip: Wendrock e/w @ 11/1

2.55 – Golden Miller Bowl Chase (Grade 1)

It is hard to make a case for anything at a big price here. We backed The Real Whacker in the Gold Cup but he weakened at almost the exact same point as he did when running in the race a year previously. He might have a better chance of staying this less taxing test but I am happy to let him run without the weight of my money this time.

Djelo won a class 3 handicap chase here over 2m back in 2023 but he never figured here last year over the same trip. He may do better over this longer distance but he ran a stinker at Cheltenham and it is hard to be confident in him after that tame effort.

The rest of the field are priced up at 10/1 or shorter and I wouldn’t be taking those sort of odds about the likes of Ahoy Senor or Gaelic Warrior. Embassy Gardens would be of interest on testing ground but on good to soft, he has it to prove. I am happy to leave this race alone. No bet.

2025 Aintree Grand National meeting Day 1 Tip: No bet

3.30 – Aintree Hurdle (grade 1)

Just seven run here and I am afraid this is another race I’ll just be watching. If the old Constitution Hill turns up, he’ll be hard to beat but he’s starting to remind me of Buveur d’Air. Like Constitution Hill, he fell when fancied to make it three in a row in the Champion Hurdle and he also made a couple of similar mistakes in two of his prep runs for that race. He went on to get beaten at Aintree and I fear it could be a similar story for Constitution Hill.

Lossiemouth was impressive against the mares at Cheltenham and she looks well placed to take advantage if Constitution does make more mistakes. The fly in the ointment could be Wodhooh but you’d have to think that her stylish win at Cheltenham took a bit out of her and this is a quick enough turnaround. However, she looks a Grade 1 horse all over and if it doesn’t happen here, she will be dining at the top table next season.

If there were three places on offer, I would probably back Take No Chances again. She landed the place money for us at tasty odds at Cheltenham but it is hard to see her turning the 9.25l deficit to Lossiemouth around. Hopefully the big dogs all turn up in top form and put in a clear round. If they do, it should be a cracking race to watch.

2025 Aintree Grand National meeting Day 1 Tip: No bet

4.40 – Red Rum Handicap Chase (Premier)

I mentioned on X that my best bet of the week was running on Day 1 and if you haven’t guessed who it is by now, you must be a relatively new follower. It is the one, the only, the inimitable, Tommy’s Oscar. Long time followers will know how much I rate this horse and it looks like the Hamiltons, who love Aintree and who have had winners at this meeting before, have laid him out for this big pot.

It has been a quiet campaign for Tommy but Ann Hamilton’s horses weren’t running well in the early part of the season. On his last two outings he’s been ridden by Sean Quinlan and the 3lb claimer Peter Kavanagh but today he is reunited with the jockey who has been on board for nine of his twelve career wins, Danny McMenamin.

The upside of his three moderate runs this season is that his mark has fallen from 157 to 152. The last time he was rated 152 was last April at Ayr’s Scottish National meeting and he hosed up in a G3 handicap chase over 16.5f. He has run once at this track before, in the Old Roan Grade 2 Handicap Chase off 157, and travelled very well but didn’t quite see his race out over that 2m4f trip.

This is a much more suitable distance for him and the Hamiltons are 3/13 with two seconds and a fourth at this venue (+29.50 to a 1 unit stake), a remarkable record for such a small operation. Tommy’s Oscar is a 160 horse on his day and if he is in peak form on Thursday, he is capable of going very close here at odds of 16/1 off 152. Hopefully he does the business.

2025 Aintree Grand National meeting Day 1 Tip: Tommy’s Oscar e/w @ 18/1 NAP (4 places)

-DaveStevos

2025 Leopardstown Classic Trials Meeting Preview

Whip Cracker got badly hampered, as did Rose Prick, and Chic Colombine was simply out for a Saturday stroll. It wasn’t all bad news though. Son Of Sarabi did everything but win the Brocklesby for us at 50/1 and it looked like Pearl Eye did the same but our 33/1 NB got the race in the stewards’ room. Now, the focus switches to the Emerald Isle for the Derby and Guineas’ trials, check out my 2025 Leopardstown Classic Trials meeting preview below.

2.35 – Red Rocks Stakes (Group 3)

Frustratingly two of the three Group 3s at Leopardstown today have just seven runners, a pain for e/w players like ourselves. However, even with just the two places available, I am going to take a chance on Tribal Nation here.

A son of Wootton Bassett, he got off the mark at the third attempt in a Galway maiden last year. That came over 7f on very testing ground but he ran well enough in his first two races on good, so the yielding ground at Leopardstown should be fine for him.

On ratings, with a mark of 90 this horse has to improve plenty on paper to trouble the top two in the betting. Henri Matisse is rated 116 and Arizona Blaze 110, but I suspect those horses would prefer the ground to be closer to good to firm.

Tribal Nation’s dam Indian Blessing won at listed level on good to soft and a G3 on good, which augurs well, as does the fact that Joseph and McMonagle fired in a double at the Curragh on Saturday. At odds of 14/1, Tribal Nation is worth chancing e/w for small stakes.

Leopardstown Sunday Tip: Tribal Nation e/w @ 14/1

3.10 – Priory Belle Stakes (Group 3)

The one that looks well overpriced here, once the ground dries out to good to yielding, is Joe Murphy’s filly Cercene. A big eyecatcher on her Gowran debut (7f, good) she made no mistake second time up at Naas (7f, good). Two furlongs out she still had plenty to do but once the penny dropped she quickened up smartly down the outside and won more comfortably than the winning distance of 2.25l suggests.

That form has been boosted big time in the last week or so. The runner up, Rowdy Yeats, came out and hosed up in a maiden on his seasonal reappearance back at Naas last weekend, after which he was given a rating of 94. Noel Meade said post-race he hoped he was a stakes horse. In third was Bodhi Bear who beat Mathan on his next start, and Mathan won a 7f maiden at the Curragh yesterday by over 3l.

Cercene has been dismissed by the bookmakers because she ran poorly when stepped into G3 company on her final start of last season. However, she hated the soft ground that day and I firmly believe she is a lot better than the rating of 87 she has been handed by the handicapper.

Murphy won’t run her if the ground is too soft, which is a bit of insurance for us, but if the ground is quick enough and she does take her chance, Cercene is well capable of outrunning her dismissive odds of 40/1.

Leopardstown Sunday Tip: Cercene e/w @ 40/1

3.45 – Ballysax Stakes (Group 3)

Adrian Murray pulled off a monumental shock in this race last year with Dallas Star at 50/1. This year, he runs two and I think Tiberius Thunder is worth a second look at odds of 14/1. Yes, it probably wasn’t the strongest of maidens he won at Dundalk over a mile on debut but he ran green and that trip is probably his absolute minimum. He should be well suited by the step up to 1m2f and a slight ease in the ground.

He’s by a top sire in Night Of Thunder who has a 35% winner to runner strike rate with his progeny at 10f-11f (including Economics who won the Champion Stakes in September over this C&D). His dam, Ellthea, won a Group 3 over 7f on soft and her dam, Tropical Lady, won two Group 3s at Leopardstown for Jim Bolger over 7f and 1m2f so there are encouraging signs in his pedigree regarding his aptitude for this test.

The top four in the market here all lack a run so Tiberius Thunder will have a fitness edge, another plus. Murray is presumably running Spicy Margarita to make the pace and set it up for her stablemate. Will he be good enough? That remains to be seen but with odds of 14/1 available, it’s worth taking the chance that he is.

Leopardstown Sunday Tip: Tiberius Thunder e/w @ 14/1

4.20 – 1888 Restaurant Handicap (90 = 9st 12lb)

Since 2011, only two horses drawn higher than 8 have won this race. It can be really tricky from a high draw in handicaps at Leopardstown and this is a race Aidan O’Brien has done well in recently, winning three of the last five renewals. He is triple handed this year and his runners have been drawn 2, 4 and 9. Moore prefers Serious Contender, who starts from stall 2 and unsurprisingly, he’s been made the 9/4 fav.

The one I will take a punt on is a Magnier owned horse but he isn’t trained by Aidan. Wille Browne trains Just Before, who will start from stall 3, and she is bred to be better than an 84 horse. It took her four goes to get off the mark in maidens and her breakthrough win came here over 7f in October. She was 1.5l in front of the now 88 rated Queens Fury, to whom she was conceding 3lb.

On her previous start at Cork she finished third, 4.75l behind the now 102 rated Wemightakedlongway (who runs in the Ballysax) and 2l behind Minnie Hauk, now rated 88. I don’t think Just Before’s comeback run in a rated race at Dundalk, her first try at this sort of trip, was too bad and given how weak she was in the market, she likely needed the run badly and Seamie wasn’t that hard on her at all.

She now returns to the scene of her maiden win, she should strip much fitter for her comeback run and she has a nice draw in stall 3. I usually avoid handicap debutants but she has experience in big field maidens so I am making an exception. At odds of 20/1, Just Before is the each way selection.

Leopardstown Sunday Tip: Just Before e/w @ 20/1 (5 places)

-DaveStevos