Wednesday, 22 January 2025

2025 Gowran Park Thyestes Meeting

We have already backed Macs Charm for the race that stops a county, you can read why here. Given the day that’s in it, we may as well try to find some e/w bets at nice prices in some of the other races, my 2025 Gowran Park Thyestes meeting tips are below.


1.38 – Langtons Kilkenny Handicap Hurdle (0-100)

We backed the winner of this race at 33/1 in 2023 so hopefully it is kind to us again. Timothy Doyle is a trainer who has had plenty of success at this venue, particularly on the flat, and he is represented by That’s All. This 8yo daughter of Morpheus remains a maiden after 21 starts (9 over hurdles) but she has ability and I think she might be capable of hitting the frame here off a mark of 86.

She only made her handicap debut in November and she ran poorly that day at Fairyhouse but she showed more on her next start, here over 2m4f on yielding ground. She managed to finish sixth of 15 off a mark of 90, beaten 15l for the win and 10.5l for the place. Dropped out in rear, she travelled into the race really nicely but her stamina ran out between the last two flights.

She filled the same position in her next two starts, both on good ground, but last time out she managed to get third at Punchestown (16.5f hvy), beaten 6l for the win by Falcon Park, who reopposes here. Doyle’s mare was conceding 6lb to that rival at Punchestown, with jockey’s claims taken into account she’ll be getting 11lbs from him here, a hefty 17lb swing.

Ar Nos Na Gaoithe was 4l back in fourth that day and she is 12/1 here, That’s All is 20s. I don’t see any reasons why Doyle’s mare can’t uphold that form and I think she has every chance of getting a whole lot closer to Falcon Park on these terms. So, at odds of 20/1, That’s All is the each way selection.

2025 Gowran Park Thyestes Meeting Tip: That’s All e/w @ 20/1 NAP (5 places)

2.13 – Galmoy Hurdle (Grade 2)

Unfortunately, the cat is out of the bag regarding Rocky's Diamond. He landed a smashing place for us at Leopardstown last month but he isn’t going to be 66/1 this time around. 8/1 can still be got at the time of writing, too short for the blog but still a half-decent price. He’s won here before and I wouldn’t be surprised if he won this weak looking Grade 2.

You can pick holes in lots of his rivals. The 11yo Asterion Forlonge, who has won two races since April 2021, is 4/1. That’s right, 4/1. Buddy One is a horse I like but he’s been chasing and he may need to get his eye back in over the smaller obstacles. Sandor Clegane usually travels well but finds little.

It looks to me like Rocky’s Diamond has Hiddenvalley Lake to beat. He’s a Grade 2 winner and has placed in Grade 1s on his last two starts. Apart from him, Franciscan Rock is the only one that makes much appeal and his odds of 14/1 are tempting. However, I am going to take a chance on the Rocky’s Diamond/Hiddenvalley Lake reverse forecast. They are by far the two most solid looking options, hopefully they can fight out the finish.

2025 Gowran Park Thyestes Meeting Tip: Rocky’s Diamond/Hiddenvalley Lake reverse forecast

2.48 – Thyestes Handicap Chase (Grade 3)

We’ve already backed Macs Charm for this at 50/1 and I am happy with my lot. Stormy Judge could be worth a few pennies e/w if he gets a run but hopefully we can land the e/w money with Macs.

2025 Gowran Park Thyestes Meeting Tip: Macs Charm already advised e/w @ 50/1

-DaveStevos

No comments:

Post a Comment