Thursday, 3 April 2025

2025 Aintree Grand National Meeting Day 2

Now it is time for our 2025 Aintree Grand National meeting Day 2 tips, see who Dave fancies below.

1.45 – Mildmay Novices’ Chase (Grade 1)

The one that looks a shade overpriced in the opener is Jordans. Trained by Joseph O’Brien, this 6yo ran a decent race to finish fifth in the Plate at Cheltenham last month. To be honest, I was surprised he went down that route because on his previous start at Limerick, he shaped as though he’d be well up to being competitive in Grade 1 company.

In that 19.5f contest he was held up off the pace and finished off very nicely to take second, 4l behind Impaire Et Passe and we all saw what he did here on Day 1.

The question is, will Jordans stay this much longer trip? He is by Coastal Path and out of a Network dam, so he is bred along similar lines to the likes of Ideal Des Bordes and Job, two horses that have both won over 3m plus. His Limerick effort suggested he’d stay further and with odds of 18/1 available, it is worth taking the chance that he does.

2025 Aintree Grand National meeting Day 2 Tip: Jordans e/w @ 18/1  

2.20 – W Hill Handicap Hurdle (Premier)

This is wide open. Elliott and Skelton have a decent recent record in it and they have three runners between them this year. Skelton runs two, the beaten Coral Cup gamble Be Aware with Harry Skelton on board and the mare Listentoyourheart, who will be partnered by the 7lb claimer Harry Atkins.

Clearly, they think Be Aware is well handicapped given the money that came at Cheltenham but he’s just 7/1 and this looks a tough assignment for Listentoyourheart on her handicap debut. Beacon Edge is Gordon Elliott’s sole representative and while he should run his race, it is hard to argue that he is well treated off 145.

One that might go well at bigger odds is the Jonathan Sweeney trained Western Walk. Back in May he finished a close up fourth in a hot 2m4f handicap at the Punchestown Festival off 132, just his third handicap start. He then followed that up with a fine second off a pound higher at Ballinrobe over 2m6f.

Beacon Edge finished 1.25l ahead of Western Walk at Punchestown and Sweeney’s charge is weighted to turn that around. He had a spin around Naas four weeks ago, which will have blown away any cobwebs, and while he stays further than this, I am hoping they go a good gallop early and he finishes off strongly.

His form figures on ground with good in the description over hurdles read 2412 and while he is an 8yo, he is relatively lightly raced so there might be a bit more to come from him. At odds of 28/1, Western Walk is the e/w selection.

2025 Aintree Grand National meeting Day 2 Tip: Western Walk e/w @ 28/1 (5 places) NB

2.55 – Top Novice’ Hurdle (Grade 1)

A couple of the main protagonists from the Supreme rock up in this 16.5f Grade 1. Romeo Coolio, who finished third, and Salavator Mundi, who was 11l behind that rival back in fifth are 11/8 and 6/1 respectively. At 3/1 is Fergal O’Brien’s Tripoli Flyer, who swerved the Supreme on account of the easy ground. He ran a cracker in a Grade 2 bumper at this meeting last year and this test could be ideal for him. For me, he’s probably the one to beat.

The interesting one at bigger odds is the rapid improver, Jet To Vegas. Trained by Lucinda Russell, who traditionally does well at this festival, this son of Jetaway comes here on the back of a maiden hurdle win at Ayr (16f, soft) and a Grade 2 win at Kelso, where he lowered the colours of a well-backed Willie Mullins horse.

Now, this horse does have a tendency to jump a bit right handed but it hasn’t stopped him from winning on left-handed tracks the last twice. The handicapper gave him a rating of 137 for that Kelso victory, so he needs to improve again on paper, but he’s done nothing but improve on his last couple of starts so the trend could continue. At odds of 16/1, Jet To Vegas is the e/w selection.

2025 Aintree Grand National meeting Day 2 Tip: Jet To Vegas e/w @ 16/1

3.30 – Melling Chase (grade 1)

Just four runners and a race I will not be getting involved in. No strong opinion and no bet.

2025 Aintree Grand National meeting Day 2 Tip: No bet

4.05 – Topham Handicap Chase (Premier)

The one I’ve had my eye on for some time for this race is Fantastic Lady. Trained by Nicky Henderson, this 10yo daughter of Network has a fine record over the National fences. She was a touch unlucky to unseat at the first in this race in 2022 but since then, she has finished second and sixth in this in 2023 and 2024, and she’s just 1lb higher than when beaten 1.75l in that 2023 renewal.

All of her previous completed runs over these fences have come on soft or heavy ground. This will be the first time she gets ground with good in the description and four of her five career wins have come on that sort of a surface. James Bowen has won on her before, her owner is 5/20 with seven top 4 finishes at Aintree and if this mare gets a clear passage, she can hit the frame at odds of 25/1.

2025 Aintree Grand National meeting Day 2 Tip: Fantastic Lady e/w @ 25/1 (6 places) NAP

4.40 – Sefton Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 1)

A very hard race to assess. Mister Meggitt hosed up in a 2m4f novice here on good ground in November on his seasonal reappearance and he has been freshened up for a tilt at this. However, he’s no banker to stay 3m on breeding and the fact that connections have decided to stick a tongue strap on is another cause for concern for his backers.

A lot of runners here are stepping up to 3m for the first time which further muddies the water. Julius Des Pictons is one of those but he has run blinders on both starts at 2m4f and while he was beaten in a listed hurdle at Exeter on his last start, that was over 2m.

He is by Cokoriko, a big stamina influence. His dam is unraced and there is scant information about her lineage online but she is by the same sire as Houblon Des Obeaux, a strong stayer. Julius Des Pictons finished just 0.75l behind Western Knight on his UK debut in an Uttoxeter maiden back in November on good ground over 2m4f yet his is over twice the odds of that rival on identical terms.

This isn’t one for maximum stakes but at 40/1, a small e/w interest is advised.

2025 Aintree Grand National meeting Day 2 Tip: Julius Des Pictons e/w @ 40/1 (4 places)

-DaveStevos

Tuesday, 1 April 2025

2025 Aintree Grand National Meeting Day 1

We almost made an incredible start to the flat season on Saturday. Our 50/1 Brocklesby fancy Son Of Sarabi was beat a nose into second. However, our luck changed with our 33/1 NB Pearl Eye who was awarded the Spring Mile by the stewards (SP 50/1). On Sunday at Leopardstown Cercene ensured we didn’t go home empty handed, placing at 40s. I look forward to seeing how she'll be priced up for the Irish 1000 Guineas. Now it is time for our 2025 Aintree Grand National meeting day 1 tips, see who Dave fancies below.

1.45 – Manifesto Novices’ Chase (Grade 1)

Jango Baie had a hard race at Cheltenham and while Impaire Et Passe is fresh, his jumping makes him hard to trust implicitly. I am a big fan of Croke Park and Gordon Elliott’s decision to swerve the festival and come here instead might pay handsome dividends.

In the hope that a couple of the market leaders misfire, I’m going to take a chance on The Kalooki Kid here for Nicky Richards and Danny McMenamin. A mid-120s hurdler, this grey son of Gentlewave has proved to be a much better chaser and he has won both of his last starts at around this trip.

He got off the mark over 19f at Doncaster in his second chase start in a novice handicap, winning easily by 5.5l off 124. A 7lb rise wasn’t enough to stop him following up at Musselburgh where he beat a decent handicapper in Saint Segal and he now comes into this race rated 138.

Clearly, he needs to improve again to trouble the best of these but he’s fresh, he’s still relatively young and there could easily be more to come. At odds of 25/1, The Kalooki Kid is the each way selection.

2025 Aintree Grand National meeting Day 1 Tip: The Kalooki Kid e/w @ 25/1

2.20 – Boodles 4yo Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 1)

He isn’t a massive price but if Wendrock can reproduce the form of his Leopardstown maiden win when he beat subsequent Grade 1 runner up Galileo Dame, I think he can go very close here at odds of 11/1.

Yes, he finished 7.5l behind Putyourhandstogether in the juvenile handicap at Cheltenham but he’s now 6lb better off with that rival and Gordon Elliott’s horses are in better form now. Wendrock was 10 horses wide coming into the final turn and ended up making his challenge up the inner. It wasn’t Jack Kennedy’s finest hour and I suspect he may have still been feeling the effects of the injury that almost ruled him out of the festival.

When he won at Leopardstown Sam Ewing always had him close to the pace and I am hoping that similar tactics are employed here. If they are, hopefully Wendrock will hit the frame on ground he should enjoy at odds of 11/1.

2025 Aintree Grand National meeting Day 1 Tip: Wendrock e/w @ 11/1

2.55 – Golden Miller Bowl Chase (Grade 1)

It is hard to make a case for anything at a big price here. We backed The Real Whacker in the Gold Cup but he weakened at almost the exact same point as he did when running in the race a year previously. He might have a better chance of staying this less taxing test but I am happy to let him run without the weight of my money this time.

Djelo won a class 3 handicap chase here over 2m back in 2023 but he never figured here last year over the same trip. He may do better over this longer distance but he ran a stinker at Cheltenham and it is hard to be confident in him after that tame effort.

The rest of the field are priced up at 10/1 or shorter and I wouldn’t be taking those sort of odds about the likes of Ahoy Senor or Gaelic Warrior. Embassy Gardens would be of interest on testing ground but on good to soft, he has it to prove. I am happy to leave this race alone. No bet.

2025 Aintree Grand National meeting Day 1 Tip: No bet

3.30 – Aintree Hurdle (grade 1)

Just seven run here and I am afraid this is another race I’ll just be watching. If the old Constitution Hill turns up, he’ll be hard to beat but he’s starting to remind me of Buveur d’Air. Like Constitution Hill, he fell when fancied to make it three in a row in the Champion Hurdle and he also made a couple of similar mistakes in two of his prep runs for that race. He went on to get beaten at Aintree and I fear it could be a similar story for Constitution Hill.

Lossiemouth was impressive against the mares at Cheltenham and she looks well placed to take advantage if Constitution does make more mistakes. The fly in the ointment could be Wodhooh but you’d have to think that her stylish win at Cheltenham took a bit out of her and this is a quick enough turnaround. However, she looks a Grade 1 horse all over and if it doesn’t happen here, she will be dining at the top table next season.

If there were three places on offer, I would probably back Take No Chances again. She landed the place money for us at tasty odds at Cheltenham but it is hard to see her turning the 9.25l deficit to Lossiemouth around. Hopefully the big dogs all turn up in top form and put in a clear round. If they do, it should be a cracking race to watch.

2025 Aintree Grand National meeting Day 1 Tip: No bet

4.40 – Red Rum Handicap Chase (Premier)

I mentioned on X that my best bet of the week was running on Day 1 and if you haven’t guessed who it is by now, you must be a relatively new follower. It is the one, the only, the inimitable, Tommy’s Oscar. Long time followers will know how much I rate this horse and it looks like the Hamiltons, who love Aintree and who have had winners at this meeting before, have laid him out for this big pot.

It has been a quiet campaign for Tommy but Ann Hamilton’s horses weren’t running well in the early part of the season. On his last two outings he’s been ridden by Sean Quinlan and the 3lb claimer Peter Kavanagh but today he is reunited with the jockey who has been on board for nine of his twelve career wins, Danny McMenamin.

The upside of his three moderate runs this season is that his mark has fallen from 157 to 152. The last time he was rated 152 was last April at Ayr’s Scottish National meeting and he hosed up in a G3 handicap chase over 16.5f. He has run once at this track before, in the Old Roan Grade 2 Handicap Chase off 157, and travelled very well but didn’t quite see his race out over that 2m4f trip.

This is a much more suitable distance for him and the Hamiltons are 3/13 with two seconds and a fourth at this venue (+29.50 to a 1 unit stake), a remarkable record for such a small operation. Tommy’s Oscar is a 160 horse on his day and if he is in peak form on Thursday, he is capable of going very close here at odds of 16/1 off 152. Hopefully he does the business.

2025 Aintree Grand National meeting Day 1 Tip: Tommy’s Oscar e/w @ 18/1 NAP (4 places)

-DaveStevos