I had set my stall out to put up an e/w Guineas double this evening. However, after spending the best part of two hours studying the 2000, I have decided to just focus on the 1000. There are too many unknowns regarding the participation of a lot of the outsiders in the 2000 Guineas so we’ll just have to make do with finding a bit of e/w value in the 1000.
The unbeaten Godolphin filly Desert Flower is odds on with a few firms. She was a brilliant two year old, winning four from four and producing a scintillating display to win the Fillies’ Mile on her final start of 2024. She’s clearly a very talented horse and if she has trained on, she is the one to beat.
Ballydoyle’s leading hope is also unbeaten. Lake Victoria, by
Frankel and out of the brilliant Ontoawinner sprinter Quiet Reflection, is
already a three time G1 winner. She saw out the mile well in the Breeders’ Cup
and to be honest, I am surprised that she is as big as 4/1. That’s not big enough
for us though and I am going to roll the dice with one at a far bigger price.
Taking On The Big Guns
Jack Channon is taking on the big guns here with Hey Boo. She
is by Iffraaj, a sire who has produced top class milers Ribchester, Audience
and the brilliant 2yo sprinter and current Coolmore sire, Wootton Bassett. As
an aside, his covering fee is just £10k now. Surely one of the biggest bargains
out there.
Hey Boo’s half-sister is a Group 3 winner and while the dam
side of her pedigree isn’t as illustrious as some of her rivals, she is still a
nicely enough bred filly. She must have been too big to run as a two year old as
she didn’t make her debut until February this year at Chelmsford. She won that
7f novice by 0.75l beating a 72 rated rival, hardly Guineas worthy form I hear you
say.
She carried a penalty on her next start in March over the came
C&D and it was a similar outcome. The third came out and won a maiden at
Doncaster’s Lincoln meeting on her next start so there is a little bit more substance
to that form.
In both of those AW wins she didn’t do any more than she had
to but the bookies weren’t too impressed and she was sent off at 40/1 for her
turf debut in the Fred Darling at Newbury (the race that produced last year’s 1000
Guineas winner).
Ran On Strongly
Hey Boo broke nicely but she raced keenly for the first couple
of furlongs. Once the two groups merged and she got a bit of cover she settled
well and while she proved no match for the winner Duty First, she ran on
strongly in the closing stages to finish a clear second and it looked to my eye
that she was only starting to hit top gear when she crossed the line.
On the evidence of that effort, this filly is going to be even
better stepped up to a mile. She won’t get away with racing as keenly in this
race but if her rider can get her covered up early, she should settle just
fine.
Straight To The Guineas
After her Newbury run Jack Channon stated “It'll be straight
to the Guineas. I'm delighted with her. It was Hey Boo's first time on the
grass after two wins on the all-weather and she'll come on a ton. She'll
improve for the mile and I wouldn't swap her.”
We know she’ll definitely run barring misfortune, the
trainer and I agree that she’ll improve for the mile and while she hasn’t got the
profile of a typical Guineas’ winner, I think she could well outrun her odds of
66/1. Hopefully she can sneak into the places.
2025 Newmarket 1000 Guineas Ante-Post Tip: Hey Boo e/w @
66/1