Two poor runs from today's selections and it seems that the Case yard's horses are still not firing on all cylinders. Wish In A Well looked threatening at one stage and moved into contention about three out, but yet again he flattered to deceive and his finishing effort was woeful. It was a similar story with Gamain who was up there for a long way but a mistake 3 out put paid to his chances and he also faded badly in the closing stages.
Tomorrow sees some top quality action in both Ireland and the UK and with the ground drying out in the UK there will be plenty of festival clues to be found at Cheltenham and Doncaster. I have written an in depth preview of the Grade 2 mares hurdle at Doncaster for Bettingtools.co.uk and you can read it and find out who I fancy here. I also fancy one in the opening handicap hurdle at Doncaster which you can read about below.
18 runners are due to go to post at 12.30 in a class 4 19.5f handicap hurdle at Doncaster. It looks an open race and there are many with chances, but one horse that could run well at rewarding odds is City Supreme for the Honeyball/Noonan combination who have a 37% strike rate when teaming up (10/27). They had yet another winner during the week when As De Fer won as he liked, and there is reason to believe that better ground could bring about an improved performance from City Supreme tomorrow.
He was sent off a well backed 9/4fav on his last run at Fontwell but ran a stinker to finish 5th, beaten over 40L. That was off a mark of 105, and he has been dropped just 2lb for that run which, on the face of it, won't be enough to see him win. However, the volume of money that came for him last time suggests that connections consider him to be better than his current mark, and Noonan takes off another 5lb.
His half brother Boyoboy produced his best form on good ground and his only win came on a sound surface. City Supreme has had only one run on ground better than soft, and he wasn't disgraced off 109 at Fontwell back in May (beaten 11L). He is effectively 11lb lower tomorrow on his first run on decent ground since then, and hopefully the rain stays away overnight. If it does then hopefully City Supreme will relish it and reward each way support at odds of 20/1 (Betfair Sportsbook).
STEVOS' SELECTION: 12.30 DONCASTER CITY SUPREME E/W 20/1
Tipster that loves big prices. Racing/NFL/Soccer/Rugby Twitter: @davestevos Biggest Winners: Goliath 33/1 Rage Of Bamby 20/1 Party Rock 33/1 Don't Touch It 40/1 Burning Brightly 33/1 Back Before Dawn 25/1 Court Frontier 20/1 Bilbo Bagins 20/1 Pacha Du Polder 20/1 Champagne Classic 25/1 Whatareudoingtome 20/1 Talismanic 20/1 Tower Bridge 40/1 Kilfenora 25/1 Lalor 16/1 Paper Lantern 14/1 Examiner 20/1 Romanised 40/1 Masar 20/1 Accidental Agent 33/1 Harry The Viking 28/1 Dragon Houdini 50/1
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