Thursday, 29 September 2016

Charlie Can Bounce Back At Newcastle

Horseracing can be a cruel mistress sometimes and, when things go as badly wrong as they did for Wednesday's selection, all you can do is laugh. I though he was overpriced at 16s, but even with two of the market leaders withdrawn he was sent off at 50s after drifting all day.

After watching the preceding sprint at Nottingham I knew our goose was cooked, as all the action unfolded on the far side. Corridor Kid was drawn in 11 and, when his jockey chose to stick to the near side, it was game over. It was a poor run in any case, and he could be one to keep an eye out for at Southwell this winter, as that is a track that Shaw usually targets.

There will be no uncertainty about ground or draw for Wednesday's selection, and Our Charlie Brown looks overpriced on his all weather debut. He never landed a blow last time out at Doncaster, but the good to soft ground and class 2 company can be seen as valid excuses. I think he is much better judged on his previous effort when winning as he liked at Musselburgh (7f gd/fm) in a class 6 handicap off 62, and there is every chance he will appreciate the surface at Newcastle.

His half brother Included broke his maiden on the 22nd of this month at Kempton, and Our Charlie Brown's sire American Post has a 41% strike rate (7/17) on synthetic surfaces. His dam won her only start, also on the all weather at Kempton, so the omens are good for him handling conditions. With 7 runners there will only be 2 places paid each way, so the advice is a small win bet at his current odds of 12/1 with Paddy Power.

STEVOS' SELECTION: 2.10 NEWCASTLE: OUR CHARLIE BROWN WIN 12/1

No comments:

Post a Comment