Bilbo Bagins travelled well for a long way at Fairyhouse,
and 6f out I was sure he would get a place at least. The leaders got away from
him though, and he was allowed to come home in his own time once a top 4 finish
was out of reach.
Perhaps the run came too soon after his promising effort at
Navan, and if Murray freshens him up he could be dangerous on his next start.
Do not lose faith in him yet, particularly seeing as the handicapper has
dropped him 2lbs to a mark of 98.
Derek Shaw leading in stable stalwart Top Boy at York. |
Wednesday’s selection takes his chance in the lucky last at
Chelmsford, and I think Diamond Indulgence has been crying out for this step up
to 7f. Okay, she flopped over the distance when she tried it at Southwell, but
she has stayed on nicely over 6f on her first two handicap runs. She is bred to
stay at least 7f too.
This 4yo daughter of Cockney Rebel is bred, trained and
owned by the shrewd Shaw yard, and Derek could be in the doghouse if he doesn’t
get a win out of her for Lynsey. She is out of a 7f half sister to a 9f Grade 3
winner.
Diamond Indulgence has had four starts so far, and she has shown
definite promise on four of those starts. She has yet to force her way into the
first three, but off a mark of 48, 2lb lower than when beaten just 3.75L at
Newcastle with a talented claimer taking off another 5lb, she looks weighted to
run a big race here.
Her running style has suggested that 7f would suit, and with
a clearer run she might have finished even closer at Kempton last time. She
finished 4th, a good 6L behind Whaleweigh Station, but she was only getting
3lbs from that rival that day.
This time, with O’Donnell’s claim, she is
getting over a stone from her and, with a clearer run over this extra furlong,
she can close the gap. At odds of 14/1 she looks well worth chancing each way
in an open looking contest.
STEVOS’ SELECTION: 17.10
CHELMSFORD DIAMOND INDULGENCE E/W 14/1
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