Monday, 13 February 2017

Margot Could Lead Them On A Merry Dance At Plumpton

Who’s That ended our losing run in the opener at Leopardstown, but that was to be our only winner. Bunk Off Early ran a huge race and, judging by the way he travelled, he will be well suited by a fast run race over 2 miles on better ground in the Spring.

Our Duke also claimed the runner up spot behind Disko and, while I don’t like criticising jockeys, I don’t think Robbie Power will be too happy with the ride he gave the horse. He rode him too confidently, and I think there was still plenty left in the tank as they crossed the line.

Meri Devie, my NAP, pulled her chance away in the early stages and she is another that will be suited by a stronger pace at the festival. More Than That pitched on landing at the last when there with every chance, but whether he would have found much in the closing stages is debatable.
Bunk Off Early was a big eyecatcher at Leopardstown.
Plumpton, of a Monday, can often throw up a big priced winner or two, and I think the Anna Newton Smith trained Margot Fontaine could outrun her odds of 22/1 in the 20.5f handicap hurdle at 15.00. This 7yo daughter of Tobougg ran no sort of race on her handicap debut here over 25f (hvy), but the form of her 3rd on soft over c&d on her final maiden run has worked out exceptionally well.

The winner of that race, No Comment, is officially rated 137 and he finished 11L ahead of Margot Fontaine. The 4th home, King’s Walk, won a maiden at Plumpton on his next start. He was 1.5L behind the selection. She is a couple of pounds better off with him today. The 5th home, Chelsea Flyer, won a decent Novice at Doncaster last time and is rated 130. He was over 6L behind the selection.

Margot Fontaine admittedly ran poorly on her handicap debut here off 112 (25f hvy) but the bottomless ground and extra distance may have found her out. She has been dropped to 110, Tom Cannon, who was on board for her three maiden runs, is back in the saddle and she is back down to what could be her optimum trip right now. She could make a bold bid from the front and, if she puts her best hoof forward, she could reward each way support at 22/1. 

STEVOS’ SELECTION: 15.00 PLUMPTON-MARGOT FONTAINE E/W @ 22/1

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