Throughout the winter the aim for most horses was to qualify
to run at this meeting at Lingfield on Good Friday. The All-Weather
Championships have gone from strength to strength since their introduction in
2013, and this year’s event promises to be the best yet. I have already put up
two selections for Mybettingbonus, and below are my thoughts on the other five
races.
Saeed Bin Suroor has his string in stupendous form. |
RACE 1
I fancy one at a decent price for this contest and you can
find out why here.
RACE 2
The stayers race looks a very competitive contest and a case
can be made for plenty. One that appeals as possibly being overpriced is the
Saeed Bin Suroor trained Winning Story. He comes into the race on a rating of
104, and he pulled too hard when he was beaten by Watersmeet at Chelmsford last
month. He was also returning from a 3 month break that day, so he will strip
fitter tomorrow.
However, he was mightily impressive on his previous start
when he beat First Mohican by almost 2L at Newcastle (16.5f) and this 4yo
gelded son of New Approach could well have more to come at this trip. This
should be a truly run race, and that should enable De Sousa to settle Winning
Story. If he can get a decent start from his wide draw he could be dangerous,
and at odds of 9/1 he looks a solid each way bet.
STEVOS’ SELECTION:
WINNING STORY E/W @ 9/1 NAP
RACE 3
I have already put up a selection for this race and you can
find out what it is here.
RACE 4
Stuart Williams is one of the shrewdest operators around,
and he runs two in this. Royal Birth beat Lancelot Du Lac here in a listed
contest (5F) last time out, and he should have no problem with the extra
furlong in this 6f contest. However, I think Realize could be capable of
producing a big run, and he was only beaten around 3L in this race in 2016.
This 7yo son of Zafeen has been a tremendous horse for
connections, and he has a fine record on the all-weather. He has had 25 starts
on artificial surfaces, winning 10 and placing in 6. Sean Levey takes the ride
and he has been on board for 3 of his last 4 victories. This horse is probably
best at 7f, but there is loads of early pace in this race and that could bring
his stamina into play if they go off too hard. He can be backed at odds of 22/1
and he is the each way selection.
STEVOS’ SELECTION:
REALIZE E/W 22/1
RACE 5
The milers take centre stage in this race, and if Ennaadd is
in peak condition after a few months off the track he will be hard to beat as
he goes in search of a five timer. He is versatile tactically, he is well drawn
and he deserves to be the 6/4 favourite. However, at a much bigger price I
think Steel Train might be of interest for Lincoln winning trainer David O’Meara
and Shelley Birkett.
This fella also ran in the Lincoln, and given he was drawn on
the wrong side on the day he ran a cracking race to be 7th, staying on well to
be eventually beaten less than 3L. He has yet to run at Lingfield, but he has
won on the all weather at Newcastle so he should be fine on the surface. He is
admittedly the lowest rated in the race on 99, but he should be finishing fast
when others have cried enough, and hopefully he can sneak a place at odds of
40/1 with Paddy Power.
STEVOS’ SELECTION:
STEEL TRAIN E/W @ 40/1
RACE 6
Tomily is the one that appeals at a half decent price here,
and this son of Canford Cliffs won his only previous start over this course and
distance. Richard Hannon’s 3yo lowered the colours of Sutter County that day,
and I am surprised to see that horse has been priced up at just 9/2, whereas
Tomily can be backed at odds of 15/2.
Sutter County had the run of the race that day, and he went
on to win next time out. Tomily, on the other hand, headed to Tyneside for his
next run, and he wasn’t suited by the patient tactics employed by Sean Levey in
that contest. He is drawn wide enough in stall 8 so he can’t afford to be tardy
at the start, but if he gets away quick he could make a bold bid. At odds of
15/2 he looks overpriced and he is the each way suggestion in an open looking
race.
STEVOS’ SELECTION:
TOMILY E/W @ 15/2
RACE 7
Grendisar won this race at odds of just 4/6 last season, but
he hasn’t been in the same form this year and his odds of 13/2 reflect that.
The 3rd home that day, Metropol, is back for another crack and the 6yo son of
Holy Roman Emperor shouldn’t be discounted. He was beaten only a length in this
last season, and he also ran a cracker when 5th here in a Listed contest back
in November (10f).
He was only beaten 2.75L that day behind Team Talk, and he
was only a head behind Grendisar who finished 4th. He was given an outing over
an inadequate trip of 7f at Chantilly last time, and that will have put him
spot on for tomorrow. He likes to race prominently so he will need to break
smartly, and if he does I think he is more than capable of giving each way
backers a run for their money at odds of 22/1.
STEVOS’ SELECTION:
METROPOL E/W @ 22/1
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