Friday, 7 April 2017

Move Has Gotta Be Worth A Bet At Dundalk

We were out of luck with Poetic Choice at Leopardstown on Sunday, but to be fair to the horse she didn’t get the best of rides. Sunday obviously wasn’t the day, and with her mark likely to be lowered she remains of interest on her next couple of starts. Tomorrow most of the focus will be on Aintree, but I like the look of one at nice odds at Dundalk.
Leigh Roche knows how to win at Dundalk. 
Regular readers of the blog may well remember me tipping up a horse called Shelbe a few months back, and You Gotta Move hails from the same yard. This 4yo son of Bushranger has yet to get his head in front after 8 career starts, but he has shown enough ability to suggest he is capable of winning a small handicap.

His best run came here over 7f in October 2015, when he stayed on very well late in the day for 2nd of a mark of 57, beaten just over a length. He was off for over a year after that decent run, and he made a low key return here in November last year, beaten 5L off a mark of 50 (7f). He was again kept to 7f on his next run, and this time he was beaten twice as far off 49.

He was stepped up to a mile on his penultimate run, and off a mark of 47 he kept on well late in the day to be beaten just 4L under a very tender ride. He was reined back early and his jockey saw fit to take a couple of pulls too, as well as declining to use his whip. You Gotta Move still finished off his race pretty well, shaping as if well worth another crack over a mile.

He steps back up to that distance this evening, and Quinn has booked a top class jockey in Leigh Roche. You Gotta Move hasn’t been handed the best of draws for this evening, but he will likely be dropped in and produced with a late run so it shouldn’t be too much of an inconvenience. Alans Pride and Elusive Approach should ensure the race is run at a decent clip, and if the gaps come at the right time I think You Gotta Move is capable of going close at odds of 20/1.


STEVOS’ SELECTION: 19.55 DUNDALK-YOU GOTTA MOVE E/W @ 20/1

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