Staff College was withdrawn by Henry Spiller on
account of the ground at Newmarket, and it seems he is biding his time for a
sounder surface. He holds another couple of entries for this week, so keep an
eye out for him. If he repeats the form of that 2yo run in France on decent
ground he will be well up to making a big impact off his opening mark of 80.
Socks Madden can claim 5lb and it could be crucial. |
I am off to Gowran tomorrow for their twilight card
and hopefully the rain steers clear. There are showers forecast but it is
unlikely that conditions will soften too much. The one I am interested in won’t
give a monkeys what the weather does, and I think Elzaa looks way overpriced in
the 20.30 for Adrian McAllister and Socks Madden.
This 3yo filly showed little in four starts last
season as a 2yo, but she has displayed a fair bit of potential on two of her
last four starts this season. The first glimmer of ability came when she was 3rd
at Gowran back in April off a mark of 51 on handicap debut for her former handler Lady Jane
Gillespie, who sadly passed away after a brave battle with a prolonged illness earlier
this year.
Elzaa is now in the care of another Northern Ireland
based trainer, Adrian McAllister. This is the Antrim based handler’s first
season and he has already sent out a winner from just 7 runners. He has his
string in good form at the moment, and he has rattled the cross bar with his
last two runners. Elzaa was well beaten for him on her first run in a 10f
Curragh maiden, but she showed a whole lot more last time back in handicap
company at Leopardstown.
She was outpaced early on in that 8f good to firm
ground contest off a mark of 53, but she stayed on strongly in the last couple
of furlongs behind the well treated winner. She just missed out on a place for
Tom Madden who was riding for the first time, and he was unable to claim any
weight in that apprentice race. Elzaa has been dropped to 52 after that effort
and with Madden able to claim 5lb this evening she is effectively 6lb lower
than when 4th at Leopardstown.
She could have been drawn a lot worse than stall 7 tonight and
in any case, she will probably be held up for a late run so as long as she
doesn’t fall out of the stalls she should be fine. The first time cheek-pieces
should help sharpen her concentration and on the evidence of her two handicap
runs the step up to 9.5f is another cause for optimism. She has course form,
she is versatile regarding ground and she has proven she can be competitive off
her current mark. Elzaa is well overpriced at odds of 16/1 and she is a
confident each way selection.
STEVOS’
SELECTION: 20.30-ELZAA E/W @ 16/1
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