Glen’s DD ran a lovely race for us on Sunday but unfortunately,
she just didn’t get home on the bottomless ground. She travelled really well
out the rear for Blackmore and when she gave him a squeeze she made ground
stylishly, scything through the field and slickly flitting over the fences. I
was rubbing my hands as they hit the 4f marker in anticipation of a tasty 40/1 payday,
but a furlong later she hit the wall and Glen’s DD ended up coming home in 6th.
I think with that run under her belt she will be dangerous to discount next
time out, especially on slightly better ground.
 |
| Joe Colliver has a good record at Sedgefield. |
I usually refrain from tipping up horses in 7 runner
contests due to only being paid out on the first two home for each way bets,
but for those of you who play on the exchanges you can bet on this mare to
place in the first three. However, I just can’t resist having a small each way
bet on Katy Royal at silly odds tomorrow as she was a big eyecatcher at
Sedgefield on her last outing (20f gd). She races over a furlong further at the
same track on similar ground on Thursday and that is enough to tempt me into
having a small bet.
This nicely bred daughter of King’s Theatre is out of a dam that
has yet to produce a winner from six attempts. However, her dam’s half brother
Betty’s Boy was a Cheltenham Festival handicap winner and her half sister is
the dam of Grade 2 winner Carraig Mor. Those horses all stayed very well, and
it looks to me that Katy Royal is a similar type. She had shown very little up until
last time out at Sedgefield, and when sent off at 200/1 and anchored at the
rear early on it didn’t look like much would be forthcoming.
However, having watched the race back a couple of times I
noticed that she was given a very considerate ride by Joe Colliver. He was at
pains not to ask for too much too early and he held a tight rein near the rear
of the field throughout. I loved how Katy Royal jumped the first couple of
hurdles and though she got in close to a couple after that she jumped the last
two nicely too. She was left with an awful lot to do by her jockey but when he
got stuck in after the final fence she responded well to pressure to get up for 4th and, judging by how she crossed the line, there was plenty more left in the tank.
She is stepped up in trip to 21f on Thursday, a furlong
further than last time, and the extra distance looks sure to suit. Joe Colliver
is back in the plate and it will be interesting to see what sort of a ride he
gives her in this contest. My hope is that she is held up again, hopefully off
a strong pace, and if they go too quick up front she will be finishing fast and
hopefully she can sneak into the frame. Another cause for optimism is her
trainer and jockey’s individual records at Sedgefield.
Chris Fairhurst, whose only runner in the past two weeks won
on the level at Newcastle, has an excellent frame hitting strike rate at
Sedgefield of over 40% (4 wins 20 top 4 finishes from 59 runners). Colliver,
for whom Katy Royal is the only ride today, has had 101 rides at the track,
winning 13 races and achieving 41 top 4 finishes for a frame hitting strike
rate of nearly 54%. I think there are more than enough reasons to chance a
small e/w bet on Katy Royal, and at odds of 66/1 if she can sneak into the first two we will
be well rewarded.
I have also posted two tips for Thursday for Mybettingbonus, check them out by clicking here.
STEVOS’ SELECTION:
13.30 SEDGEFIELD-KATY ROYAL E/W @ 66/1
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