There is no two ways about it,
Buyer Beware was very disappointing. The omens weren’t good as he drifted like
a barge out to 40/1 at one point, and eventually sent off at 33s he made no impact.
In fairness to him he jumped and travelled well to a point, but as they turned for
home the tank emptied quickly and perhaps he needs a bit more help from the
handicapper.
Regular readers will remember me
tipping up tomorrow’s fancy on his return to action after a long spell on the sidelines
at Punchestown back in October. Kauto Grand Mogol could only manage 10th that
day (20f yld/sft) but he did shape as though he was in dire need off the run
and he ran a much better race than the distance beaten suggests. He was bang
there at the second last but he made a mistake and tiredness got the better of
him in the closing stages.
He was backed at fancy prices on
his next start upped in trip to 3 miles at Clonmel, so he must have come out of
his comeback run well. Unfortunately, the trip proved to be a bit too far for
him and he faded late on after travelling menacingly into the race as they
approached the fourth last. He ended up 6th, beaten over 20L, but he demonstrated
that he still has ability and I think he could produce a big run dropped back
to 20f at Navan.
Given the length of time he was
missing he is likely to have benefitted massively for his first two runs back.
As an added bonus the handicapper has been very generous, dropping him 10lb to
a mark of 125. This half brother to Kauto Star was an excellent 4th in a Martin
Pipe Hurdle back in 2014 off 135, so he looks dangerously well handicapped at
the moment off 10lb lower.
Liz Doyle has booked Donagh
Meyler for the ride and he has an excellent strike rate when riding for Doyle.
From 22 rides he has 5 wins and 6 2nds, a frame hitting strike rate of 50% and
a win strike rate of 28%. The bottomless ground at Navan shouldn’t pose any
problems either as this lad won his bumper and novice hurdle easily on
soft/heavy ground. I think Kauto Grand Mogol looks a massive price at 20/1 and
hopefully he gives e/w backers a good run for their money.
STEVOS’ SELECTION: 13.20 NAVAN-KAUTO GRAND MOGOL E/W @ 20/1
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