We failed to land a winner on Saturday but we couldn’t have come much closer. Arabian Dusk and Big Gossey were arguably unlucky not to win, as was the well backed Never Let Go but at least we got some e/w money at 28s, 20s and 33s. Cheers Again got no luck in running, the ground turned against Presence and we had two very frustrating fourths with Electric Storm and Rashabar.
On the upside, almost all of our bets were competitive so
the radar is working to some extent. We go again tomorrow, my 2025 Curragh 1000
Guineas meeting tips are below.
1.55 – Marble Hill Stakes (Group 3)
Power Blue looks overpriced at 16/1 in this G3 for the 2yos.
A winner of the opening 5f maiden at this venue back in March on soft, he ran
to a similar level when getting to within 1.5l of Lady Iman in a Listed race
back here earlier this month on good ground.
Ger Lyons’ filly has since boosted that form by winning a
Group 3 at Naas and she is very well regarded by her trainer. Power Blue comes
up against some unexposed types here, such as Albert Einstein and Andab, both
of whom won on debut. However, they are stepping up in class and I am
happy to take my chances on the sole horse in here that has already proved he
can mix it at stakes level, especially when his odds are 16/1.
2025 Curragh 1000 Guineas meeting tip: Power Blue e/w @
16/1
2.30 – Lanwades Stud Stakes (Group 2)
The returning Porta Fortuna is the top rated by some way
here and if she can reproduce the form she showed at Newmarket in the Falmouth
last summer, she should be up to giving weight and a beating to her rivals.
However, if the rain that fell on Saturday has got into the ground, she might just
be vulnerable.
One filly who certainly won’t mind a bit of an ease in the
ground is Naomi Lapaglia. Bought for 475k Guineas in December, this 5yo daughter
of Awtaad ran some excellent races in defeat in stakes company for Richard
Spencer. It was a similar story on debut for Ger Lyons’ over this C&D when
she finished a 2l third in the G3 Park Express behind One Look and Ecstatic.
Can she turn that form around? Well, a few of Lyons’ horses
have needed the run on their returns whereas Paddy Twomey’s are usually gun
barrel straight so I wouldn’t be surprised if she turned the tables with that rival. Will
she be good enough to beat Porta Fortuna? Probably not, but if the ease in the
ground causes her to fluff her lines, you never know. At odds of 10/1, Naomi
Lapaglia is the e/w selection.
2025 Curragh 1000 Guineas meeting tip: Naomi Lapaglia e/w
@ 10/1
3.05 – Tattersalls Gold Cup (Group 1)
The British raiders didn’t fare too badly yesterday and
Royal Rhyme could give them more to shout about here. A five time winner, this
son of Lope De Vega looks a shade too big to my eye at odds of 14/1.
His sole win last season came in a 1m2f G3 at Sandown on
soft ground on his seasonal reappearance. He failed to fire on rattling quick
ground on his next four starts but a return to easier conditions saw him run a fine
race to finish third behind Anmaat in the 1m2f Champion Stakes at Ascot.
Karl Burke’s charge made his seasonal return in the G1 Prix
Ganay at Longchamp last month. He ran another fine race despite racing a bit keenly
and he was beaten just 2.25l by Sosie.
White Birch is a cracking horse and is probably the one to
beat but I think the rest of these are much of a muchness and with ground to
suit and that sharpener in France under his belt, Royal Rhyme is worth backing
e/w at odds of 14/1. Fingers crossed for a good sup of rain for him tonight.
2025 Curragh 1000 Guineas meeting tip: Royal Rhyme e/w @
14/1
3.40 – Irish 1000 Guineas (Group 1)
We have already bet Cercene for this race and she’s on the
drift. I can’t believe she is 50s in a place now and I’ll be going in again at
those odds.
As I mentioned in my original
preview for this race, I think Tamam Desert has the potential to rate much
higher than a 90 filly.
By Sea The Moon, her dam is a half-sister to Banimpire, a
high class 3yo for Jim Bolger who won the Ribblesdale at Royal Ascot a few
years back. That filly ran well to finish a 2.25l fifth in the Irish 1000
Guineas in 2011 so Tamam Desert has the pedigree, but does she have the ability?
I’m probably clutching at straws here but this filly has
been on my radar ever since her debut. She looked a good horse that day despite finishing midfield and she
managed to win at Galway second time up despite displaying plenty of greenness.
Shane Foley gave her something of an educational ride on her
seasonal comeback in a 10.5f G3 at Naas, her first try in stakes company. It
reminded me of the ride he gave Romanised at the same venue before he went on
to cause a massive shock in the 2000 Guineas.
I think dropping back to 1m might suit this filly and while Cercene is my main hope, I am going to have a half-stakes e/w bet on Tamam Desert too at 150/1. Hopefully at least one of them can hit the frame.
2025 Curragh 1000 Guineas meeting tip: Tamam Desert 0.5pt
e/w @ 150/1; Cercene already advised @ 25/1
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