We managed to find another nice winner at the weekend with Eydon at 16s. This weekend is one of my favourite of the flat season with the Irish 1000 & 2000 Guineas at the Curragh. I have decided to post two ante-post selections before declarations for the 2000 tomorrow, find out who I am backing below.
2025 Irish 2000 Guineas
First up on Saturday are the colts and the one that stands
out like a sore thumb is Rashabar. Odds of 20/1 about the British raider look
very generous to me given the level of form he has shown. A shock winner of the
Coventry Stakes at Ascot last year, he more than proved that was no fluke in
his subsequent 2yo starts.
At Deauville in the 6f Prix Morny he pushed Whistlejacket
the whole way. He coped well with the step up to 7f on his final 2yo start at Longchamp
in the Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere when just a neck behind Camille Pissarro who has
since finished third in the French Guineas. Behind him in fourth was Field Of
Gold, the 4/5 fav here and runner up at Newmarket in the English 2000 Guineas
last time out. Solid form.
On his seasonal return Rashabar was a neck behind Jonquil in
the Greenham and he was beaten a head by Henri Matisse at Longchamp in the
French Guineas. How Rashabar is such a big price is a head-scratcher. Yes, he
is untried at a mile but I can’t see why he won’t get it. He’s by Holy Roman
Emperor, the sire of the 2019 winner Romanised and his Camelot dam is a half to
two 1m6f winners.
At odds of 20/1, Rashabar looks a cracking e/w bet.
2025 Irish 2000 Guineas Tip: Rashabar e/w @ 20/1
2025 Irish 1000 Guineas
The fillies take centre stage on Sunday and I am torn
between two. Ever since her debut at Leopardstown I’ve thought Tamam Desert was
a high-class filly. She may have finished tenth but the way she finished off
her race suggested she had lots of ability. She won a maiden at Galway on her
second start, overcoming greenness and her run on her seasonal return in a Naas
listed heat did not dampen my enthusiasm for her.
I might back her on the day if there are extra places on
offer but I have thought Cercene was an ideal type for this race ever since her
maiden win at Naas last September and she has run crackers on both outings this
term.
On her seasonal reappearance at Leopardstown over 7f (we backed
her) she met trouble in running and flew home to finish third, just 1.75l
behind Swelter, the 4/1 second favourite here. If that race were over 1m, she
would have beaten her.
The daughter of Australia, whose dam is a half-sister to the
dam of the top class miler Mohaather, stepped up to a mile at this venue on her
next start in the G3 Athasi Stakes. She was a bit keen early which didn’t help but
she stayed on well to get back up for second, finishing 0.5l behind the winner
Atsila.
If Cercene gets a strong early pace she will hopefully
settle better. I think she has a very nice turn of foot and I can see her
staying on fast and late in the final furlong. On that run behind Swelter she
looks massively overpriced at 25/1 and at those odds, she has to be worth chancing
e/w.
2025 Irish 1000 Guineas Tip: Cercene e/w @ 25/1; I am also
recommending a small e/w double on Cercene and Rashabar.
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