Friday 8 January 2016

Saturday's Selection

Unex Modigliani ran an absolute stinker for us earlier this week but it looked like the ground had deteriorated badly before he ran and he clearly hated the ground. He will be one to look out for back on a better surface and I am still convinced he is well treated over timber, once he gets his preferred conditions.

A cracking day of racing action is in store tomorrow with top quality action at both Kempton and Chepstow. The Lanzarote Hurdle should be a competitive contest at Kempton and you can read my detailed and in depth preview and find out my selection  here at Bettingtools.co.uk.

The main event of the day is without a doubt the postponed Welsh National at Chepstow, and 20 runners are due to go to post in a typically wide open heat. A low weight is usually the order of the day when the ground is heavy at Chepstow, and stamina is key for this gruelling test.

One horse that looks to tick both those boxes is the Philip Hobbs trained Bertie Boru. Tom O'Brien takes the ride and he gets a good tune out of this 9yo son of Brian Boru and he has been on board for 2 of his 3 wins. He had a very encouraging 2nd run of the season over 29f at Sandown last time out behind Caroles Destrier off 132, staying on extremely encouragingly late in the day after a troubled passage and some poor jumping. He shaped as though he was in need of an even greater stamina test.

He will get that at Chepstow tomorrow where the ground is reportedly bottomless, which will further place the emphasis on stamina. He has won on heavy ground before, back in January 2014 over 21f at Wincanton, and his latest win came off a mark of 129 at Newbury over 22.5f on soft. He races off a mark of 132, which is 3lb higher than his last winning mark,but he showed last time that he is capable of running a big race off that mark and at odds of 20/1 he looks well worthy of each way support in a wide open looking race.

STEVOS' SELECTION: 1.45 CHEPSTOW: BERTIE BORU 20/1 E/W

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