Friday 8 July 2016

Guest Can Boss Them At Newmarket

Chiringuita ran a corker at odds of 14/1 (25/1 adv) to finish third and reward each way support at Newmarket. She pulled hard during the opening furlong and only for that I think she could have finished a lot closer to the winner. She is definitely starting to come to hand and she is one to keep onside for her next few runs. She is more than capable of winning off her current mark on that evidence.

Magical Fire also ran a huge race at 33/1 and just found Roly Tricks too good in the Duchess Of Cambridge. Her trainer Mick O'Callaghan is on fire and it is worth keeping a close eye on his entries over the next few weeks.

Tomorrow the big race of the day is the July Cup at Newmarket and Quiet Reflection bids to maintain her 100% record in 2016. This daughter of Showcasing has taken the OntoAWinner syndicate on a journey they could never have even dreamed of, and I think she is a huge price at 8/1. To be honest, she was not as spectacular as I expected her to be last time in the Britannia, but I am of the opinion that the soft ground blunted her turn of foot.

If you look back through her form, the two times she has encountered good ground she has absolutely hosed up. She hacked up in a listed heat at Ayr on her first run on good ground, and then she produced the best run of her career in the Sandy Lane on good ground. Visually those were the two most impressive performances of her career, in my opinion, and I think the ground tomorrow will be a help rather than a hindrance.

She has some useful sprinters to beat, with fast ground specialist Limato at the top of the list. However, she gets weight from them all and I have my fingers crossed that she can deliver the goods and prove that the small man or woman can compete at the top in a sport dominated by billionaires.

As Quiet Reflection is only 8/1 she is too short to be put up as my selection, but I fancy another one at Newmarket at a bigger price. Bossy Guest must be one of the most frustrating horses in training, as he has failed to deliver on the massive promise he showed when finishing 4th in the 2000 Guineas behind Gleneagles back in 2015.

It is hard to believe that this 4yo son of Meidcean has failed to win since his seasonal return over 6f here last year, but in fairness he has faced some tough tasks. However, he showed last time on unsuitable ground at Royal Ascot that he was on his way back to form with an excellent effort off 104 in the Royal Hunt Cup (8f sft). Not only was he very slowly away under De Sousa, he encountered massive traffic problems in the final two furlongs and he stayed on really strongly once finding daylight to finish 6th of 28, beaten by an ever diminishing 3L.

That run showed that Bossy Guest retains plenty of ability and also showed that he is capable of making an impact off his current mark. His form figures at Newmarket on quick ground read 13143, and the 4th came in that 2000 Guineas behind Gleneagles. I think he looks overpriced tomorrow at 16/1 and with a better start and a clearer passage I can see him running a massive race.

5.10 NEWMARKET- BOSSY GUEST E/W 16/1

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