I thought we were on to a winner when I awoke on Tuesday
morning and saw that Oak Vintage had been ‘backed’ into just 7/1 in some places
from 16s. However, just like so many apparent market movers before him he ran a
stinker, and he stopped as if shot after the third last. Maybe better ground
will help, but until he shows a bit more I will be steering clear of him for
the foreseeable future.
 |
| James Nixon is 2/4 with 2 places at Taunton. |
On Thursday I like the look of one at Taunton, and I think
River Dun looks a mad price at odds of 25/1 on just her fourth handicap start. Gordon
Edwards’ 7yo daughter of Indian River was in the process of running a big race
here over course and distance (gd) last time out off 100, but she was brought
down just as the race was hotting up.
It was too early to tell whether she would have played a
part at the finish, but she was making ground stylishly on the outside and she
was travelling as well as any. She has generously been dropped 5lb to 95 for
that effort, and promising claimer James Nixon takes off another 5lb. He has
yet to ride for Edwards, but from four rides at Taunton he has 2 wins and 2
places, so he has yet to finish out of the frame.
He won on his last ride for Tony Carroll on Mr Jim, so he will
be brimful of confidence on Thursday. River Dun is relatively unexposed in the context
of this race, and she shaped like a stayer on a couple of her maiden runs,
particularly on her third run for Edwards when beaten 6.5L here on good over
16.5f. Her pedigree suggests she should stay 3 miles too, and the good ground
looks ideal. Triopas could be a big danger, but he is a much shorter price, and
I think River Dun is worth chancing each way in a wide open handicap hurdle.
STEVOS’ SELECTION:
16.10 TAUNTON-RIVER DUN E/W @ 25/1
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