Sunday 19 November 2017

Bluebook Looks Overpriced In The Greatwood

Pivotal Flame was simply outclassed for us on Friday and she never got involved. She was left behind as the pace lifted down the back and her jumping let her down. I still believe this filly possesses ability and she can make her presence felt once she gains a bit more experience. On Sunday I like the look of one in the Greatwood Hurdle at Cheltenham and I think Project Bluebook looks well overpriced for this 16.5f contest.
 
Project Bluebook ticks a lot of boxes for the Greatwood.
John Quinn’s 4yo has run some cracking races in big field handicaps, including when 4th in the Fred Winter back in March off 138. He followed that up with a fine performance when beating Dandy Mag and Ex Patriot in brave fashion in a Grade 2 hurdle at Fairyhouse(16f yld). That win saw his rating hiked to 141 but he showed he could be competitive off his revised mark when 6th behind Tigris River in the Galway Hurdle.

He is 3lb better off with that rival now and though he was a long way behind him at Galway I think he was given a poor ride by Brian Hughes and with a kinder trip he would have finished a lot closer. Project Bluebook was posted wide throughout and raced in rear, and as the race developed ahead of him he was simply left with far too much to do. He did stay on well up the Galway hill though and he must have caught the handicapper’s eye as he raised him 2lb for that run.

John Quinn’s charge is no slouch on the level either and he last ran in a flat handicap at Chepstow, chasing useful stayer Taws home off a mark of 80. He has been given a 3 month break since that good effort but that isn’t a big worry as he has form figures of 22 when returning from a break of 3 months or more. He won’t be too worried about the ground either as he has won on the flat on soft so he should handle it well.

The form of his trainer John Quinn is another positive as 2 of his last 12 runners have won. Brian Hughes has a fine record when riding for Quinn, winning on 11 of 41 rides, with a further 21 top 4 finishes, for a fabulous frame hitting strike rate of just over 78%. All things considered, I think Project Bluebook is an absolutely massive price at odds of 28/1 and at those odds he has to be worth chancing each way (6 places Skybet).

STEVOS’ SELECTION: 15.00 CHELTENHAM: PROJECT BLUEBOOK E/W 28/1


No comments:

Post a Comment