After the high of Romanised’s superb win on Saturday we were brought back down to earth with a bump on Sunday. Another Story looked to be in a good position from an early stage, but when the race started in earnest she was found wanting. Perhaps she was in need of the outing after a three month break and she is not one to lose faith in just yet.
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| Holly Doyle takes over in the plate on Javelin. |
In comparison to some of the racing that went ahead this weekend, Monday’s cards represent a massive step down in quality. I was adamant that I was going to take the day off and put nothing up for Monday, but having looked at the cards I can’t resist having a small each way bet on a William Muir filly at Leicester.
Javelin is having her second handicap start off a mark of 61 and I think the step up in trip to a mile is going to suit. She broke well enough here on her handicap debut a week ago but as the pace lifted 4f out she started to lose her place. However, when they hit the final furlong she started to stay on again and she ended up finishing 9th of 17, beaten just over 5L by the winner.
I liked how she finished off her race that day and I think the step up to a mile could be a big positive for Javelin. Her dam won at a mile and though her sire Lethal Force was a top class sprinter, his progeny have an overall strike rate of 29% at 7-9f (13 winners from 45 runners). Holly Doyle takes over from Nicola Currie in the saddle and that has to be viewed as another positive for Javelin.
William Muir has not had a winner for 26 days but he has only had 11 runners since and he has had a couple run respectably, including this filly last week. Muir has a decent record at Leicester too, sending out 27 winners and 99 top 4 finishers from 325 runners. That translates as a frame hitting strike rate of just under 39% and at odds of 33/1 hopefully Javelin can go close for each way backers this afternoon.
STEVOS’ SELECTION: 2.20 LEICESTER-JAVELIN E/W @ 33/1 (4 Places Paddy Power)
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