Saturday 13 October 2018

Miles Looks A Massive Price For The Irish Cesarewitch


I really fancied Cliffs Of Dover to run a big race today but he was given one of the worst front running rides I have ever witnessed. How Megan Nicholls thought he could sustain that pace is beyond me and you would think she might have realised she was going a bit too fast when she was a good 20 lengths in front at one point. She must have failed maths in school because her fractions were way off!
 
The rain has arrived in time for Miles To Memphis.

The Irish version of the Cesarewitch is run at Navan on Sunday and though the ground is officially described as good a friend of mine lives in Navan and he says the rain has been relentless all day. I reckon it will be soft at best and one horse who will be delighted to see conditions deteriorate is last year’s fourth, Miles to Memphis.

Sneezy Foster’s 9yo son of Old Vic has been a grand servant since arriving from Alan King’s yard and he looks to have been laid out for this race. He was a fine 4th in it last year off a mark of 85 and though he is a couple of pounds out of the handicap he is 2lb lower this time around. Interestingly, Jimmy Quinn has been booked for the ride and he is one of the strongest jockeys capable of doing such a low weight (8st 4lbs).

Miles To Memphis has had three runs at Navan and his form figures read 142 with all three runs coming on soft or heavy ground. He showed he still has a bit left in the rank when a fine 2nd in a good handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse back in April and his last two runs were likely to put him right for a repeat Irish Cesarewitch bid. I think his odds of 40/1 are plain wrong given the weather forecast and if it is soft or heavy he will go off shorter.

STEVOS’ SELECTIONS: 4.25 NAVAN-MILES TO MEMPHIS E/W @ 40/1 5 PLACES

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