Thursday 1 November 2018

Breeders’ Cup Friday- Previews And Tips For All Turf Races

Queen Of Bermuda will love the ground at Churchill Downs.


Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint (Listed)

When I first sat down to study this race the ground was firm, but a deluge means conditions will be soft at the very least come Friday night. I fancied Strike Silver in a big way before the rain came as I think this race will be run to suit his fast finishing style. The ground is a complete unknown for him though, and for that reason I have decided to side with Queen Of Bermuda.

Unlike a lot of her rivals this daughter of Exceed And Excel is proven on soft/heavy and a wide draw shouldn’t hinder the chances of this hold up type. Her form figures on ground with soft or heavy in the description read 2121, with the two wins coming at Listed and Group 3 level. She only has a length to find with Soldier’s Call on their meeting at Deauville and at odds of 14/1 she looks the each way value of the race for Mr Haggas and Flavian Prat.

STEVOS’ SELECTION: QUEEN OF BERMUDA E/W @ 14/1 NB

Breeder’s Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (Grade 1)

The first Group 1 on Breeders’ Cup weekend is the Juvenile Fillies Turf and fourteen will go to post for this 8f contest. Unbeaten daughter of Lope De Vega, Newspaperofrecord is the 13/8 favourite and given both her wins came on yielding ground this special looking filly is a worthy favourite. Her two wins were by over 6L, including in a Group 2 last time at Belmont where she made all and never looked in danger for Irad Ortiz Jr.
 
My Gal Betty hosed up on yielding ground at Woodbine.

The one that I think looks overpriced is My Gal Betty for Roger Attfield and Javier Castellano. This filly hacked up on her only start on easy ground so far and she ran a cracker on firm behind La Pelosa at Woodbine last time. Her sire won two Group 1s on easy ground, she is bred to get a mile at the very least and if she gets a strong pace to aim at I think she could stay on late for a place at least at odds of 25/1.

STEVOS’ SELECTION: MY GAL BETTY E/W @ 25/1 NAP

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf (Grade 1)

There is plenty of British and Irish interest in the 8f Juvenile Turf race and the two market leaders are Anthony Van Dyck for Aidan O’Brien and Line of Duty for Charlie Appleby. Both have winning form on softish ground but the draw has been a lot kinder to the Godolphin horse. He starts from stall 5 while Anthony Van Dyck is out in stall 14, so at the prices I would prefer Line Of Duty at 7/2.
 
Black Album could go well for Mickael Barzalona.

However, at a nice each way price I think The Black Album could go well up in trip. This son of Wootton Bassett has won three of his last four, including a Group 3 on good to soft last time. The 4th home that day won a Group 1 next time so the form looks strong and if Mickael Barzalona can get across early from stall 9 I think this fella could go well for each way players at odds of 16/1.

STEVOS’ SELECTION: THE BLACK ALBUM E/W @ 16/1

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