Sunday, 19 May 2019
Ground To Suit Sneezy’s Filly At Naas
Due to work commitments, I have had very little time to update the blog. You can still follow my free tips on the TXODDS blog (click here). The last selection I posted on here was Napoleon Blue, who did the business at 22/1. I fancy one at a slightly bigger price tomorrow in the Sole Power Sprint Listed contest at Naas and back on quick ground this filly could go very well for Denise ‘Sneezy’ Foster.
Julia’s Magic is a filly I have long believed is capable of picking up some black type. By Lady Kaya’s sire Dandy Man, this 4yo’s half-sister Lily’s Rainbow won at Listed level for these connections. She was a miler, but Julia’s Magic is all about speed. Her dam was a winner over the minimum trip and is a half-sister to Hong Kong multiple Group sprint winner Peniaphobia (Rated 119).
Julia’s Magic is rated more modestly off a mark of 92 and though she gets a fillies’ allowance, she has quite a lot to do on the figures. Beckford, Final Venture and Gossamer Wings are all rated over 100, but Julia’s Magic’s draw in stall 1 could be a huge positive. Although it wasn’t as pronounced at the last meeting at Naas, for the most part this season a low draw has been a big advantage. Just ask Richard O'Brien...
Julia’s Magic already has good form at Listed level, at this track on quick ground over 6f. She just missed out on a place in 4th, keeping on strongly to finish just half a length off the winner. She finished upsides fillies rated 95, 112 and 97 off level weights and she had a 100 rated filly a length behind. The drop back to 5f should pose no problems as her sole turf win came over the distance at Navan exactly a year ago.
Julia’s Magic didn’t scale the same heights in the second half of the season last year, but that was due to her not getting the quick ground she likes. There is no shortage of early pace in this race and a furiously run 5f will suit her down to the ground, especially on a stiff track like Naas. Her comeback run over 7f on soft at Gowran should put her spot on from a fitness perspective and the ground will be more to her liking today. She can be backed at 28/1 and at those odds, a modest each-way interest is advised.
STEVOS’ SELECTION: 3.15 NAAS – JULIA’S MAGIC E/W @ 28/1