Today's selection is another horse that has shown his best form on soft ground, and he goes in the 2.40 at Ascot. Cadeau Magnifique is trained by Richard Fahey, who is having a super season so far, and he is a son of Dutch Art, a sire whose progeny have an excellent record on rain softened ground. He failed to get his head in front as a 2yo, but reappeared this year with a much improved effort on his handicap debut off a mark of 74 on soft ground over 8.5F at Nottingham, very similar conditions to what he will face today.
That was his first run on soft and he looked as though he truly relished it. All but one of his four rivals that day have gone on to win since, so the form of the race looks decent too.
His next start saw him returned to fast ground and upped in trip to 12F at Musselburgh off his new mark of 78, and the combination of the new trip and the quick conditions proved his undoing, as he trailed in towards the rear of the field, well beaten. Next time out he was dropped back to 10F at York, again off 78, and he put in a much improved performance to finish fifth, beaten less than three lengths. The ground was good that day, with a little bit of juice in it, and the drop in trip seemed to help too.
He is dropped back to a mile today, and encounters soft ground for the first time since his win. The handicapper raised him a pound for his last effort, so he races off a mark of 79 today. His sire has a good record on soft as was stated earlier, and his dam is by Cadeaux Genereux, another sire with a good soft ground record. His breeding and his form both suggest today's trip and ground will be perfect, and at his current odds of 10/1 he looks worth supporting each way off bottom weight.
I also have a strong fancy in the Juddmonte at 2.05, and you can find a detailed analysis and selection here http://www.sportismadeforbetting.com/
Selection: 2.40 Ascot Cadeau Magnifique 10/1 (each way).
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