Rain To Suit Spader

This afternoon and evening in Dublin the rain has been pelting down, and as a result the ground has already eased at Leopardstown. With this in mind, I believe there is an overpriced horse in the second race on the card, Spader, trained by Ger Lyons and ridden by Colin Keane.
This horse has had two outings in maidens already, and has yet to trouble the judge, finishing fifth on both occasions. The first outing came at Dundalk over 5F, a trip that was never likely to suit. He showed arguably better form stepped up to 7F on his next run, and finished fifth again. A couple of horses that ran in the race have since come out and run well, and the form looks pretty decent on paper. Antelope Canyon was 5L behind in last place but came out and beat Escondida on his next run, who also goes today. Spader is more than twice the price of the Bolger horse.
However, it was good to firm that day, and today's ground conditions are sure to prove more to Spader's liking. He is a son of Jeremy, whose progeny usually relish soft underfoot conditions. His dam is by Sadlers Wells and is a  full sister to triple listed winner Pouvoir Absolu. Two of those listed wins came on rain sodden turf, so there is every chance that Spader will improve on the surface he will face this evening.
He has also been gelded since his last run, which can often help to eke out further improvement in a horse, and with doubts about the suitability of the ground for a good few of his rivals Spader looks worth a small each way interest from a good draw in stall 3.

Selection: 6.25 Leopardstown- Spader (each way) 12/1.