Goring Could Outrun Odds In Ayr Gold Cup

Adam’s Ale was a big disappointment earlier in the Bronze Cup. He broke well and got a good early position, but when push came to shove the tank was empty and he faded into 18th. Interestingly, the first four home in the Bronze Cup were drawn 16, 23, 25 and 20 so if that race is anything to go by, a high draw is a massive plus for the big one, the Ayr Gold Cup, and I like one at a monster price that will start from stall 22.
 

Goring goes well on soft ground and is well drawn.

Goring was a revelation over 8f on the all weather earlier this year, winning four races on the bounce at Lingfield. His winning streak started off a mark of just 83 and culminated with a superb effort in 3rd on All Weather Championships Day behind Lucky Team. He ended up with an all weather mark of 104 after his exploits, and he is rated 97 on turf.

His last two turf runs came in May and June and he was well beaten on both occasions at Chester over 7.5f (gd) and Royal Ascot (8f gd/fm). He hasn’t been seen since finishing well down the field at the Royal Meeting, but the 3 month break has to be viewed as a positive given his stellar record when running after breaks of 50 days or more.

This 6yo German bred son of Areion has career from figures of 31221 when fresh so that is why his mid-season break doesn’t put me off. He ran respectably on his only two outings on heavy ground and his last two turf wins came on soft ground over 6f and 7f at Chepstow so he clearly appreciates a bit of cut. He also ran well in the Bronze Cup back in 2016 when 5th on good to soft so he has course form in the book.

Ed Greatrex has been booked for the ride and he has a win and a third from three rides on this fella. He has ridden 20 winners and had 51 top 4 finishes from just 140 rides for Eve Johnson-Houghton, a frame hitting strike rate of just over 50%. She has had a couple of winners in the last fortnight so clearly her string is in decent shape and though she also runs Ice Age here who is a much shorter price than Goring, I think he might prefer better ground. Goring will be much happier on the forecast ground and at odds of 50/1 he is the each way pick.

STEVOS’ SELECTION: 3.50 AYR-GORING  E/W @ 50/1 (6 PLACES)