Wednesday 5 October 2016

Gilt Could Be Ready To Go For Gold At Chelmsford

Silverwave never landed a blow in an Arc that was dominated by Ballydoyle. Found led home a 1-2-3 for the mega rich connections, handing Aidan O'Brien his first Arc winner since Dylan Thomas back in 2007, and just the second of his career. It was undoubtedly a great training performance to produce all three runners in tip top shape on the day, but the fact that he has won it just twice shows that even with unlimited resources and the very best bloodlines, nothing is guaranteed in racing.

Tomorrow I reckon one looks way overpriced at Chelmsford, and Gilt Edged goes in the 10f class 6 handicap at 8.25. This lightly raced 3yo filly is a daughter of Big Bad Bob, and she didn't show much on her first five outings for Julie Camacho. However, she took a big step forward on her first visit here last month upped to 10f for the first time, and I believe she is capable of building on that back over the same course and distance tomorrow.

She was really quite badly hampered as they rounded the home turn last time, and Joe Doyle had to snatch her up and it cost them a fair bit of momentum. She was just starting to come into the race and she looked like playing a big part at the finish until that interference. She did keep on again once Doyle got back into the drive position, and she stayed on quite well to be 5th, beaten 3.75L off a mark of 52.

The handicapper has generously dropped her a couple of pounds for that effort, and as a 3yo she gets a weight for age allowance of 5lbs from the older horses. That means she gets to race off  a weight of just 8-11. At first glance it looks as though the draw hasn't been kind (15), but she had the plum draw in stall 1 last time and that didn't work out too well for her. Doyle will look to drop her in early doors, I would imagine, and she will be hopefully delivered with her challenge on the outside.

As is always the case in these big fields a fair chunk of luck will be required, and it is fair to say she is due a rub of the green after finding trouble last time. Joe Doyle is 5/53 for Camacho (placed 14 times), and he is a jockey I have a lot of time for. He rode out his claim this season, but given his ability he shouldn't have too much trouble getting rides. Hopefully he displays his talent tomorrow and hits the frame on Gilt Edged at odds of 16/1.

STEVOS' SELECTION: 8.25 CHELMSFORD: GILT EDGED E/W 16/1

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