I was bitterly disappointed by the run of Debutante’s Ball
in France at the weekend as I was sure she was going to run a big race. She was
away well but Hamelin dropped her out the back and unfortunately, that was
where she stayed. I do think she is capable of picking up some black type and
perhaps she will be more competitive returned to slightly better ground.
Tomorrow I like the look of one off top weight in a class 6
handicap at Salisbury, and I reckon Passing Star is an interesting contender
stepped back up to a mile and dropped in class. Daniel Kubler’s 6yo son of
Royal Applause remains a maiden on grass after 12 runs, but one of his best
turf runs came here over an inadequate 6f back in June when he was a never
nearer 5th off a mark of 73.
He was beaten just under 4L in that class 5 contest for the
win and a 6lb drop in the weights combined with the extra couple of furlongs
should allow him to get even closer. He is a 4 time winner on the all weather,
with two of those triumphs coming over a mile, and though he did win a claimer
back in May over 6f I believe that 8f is his optimum trip, especially on turf.
He is trained by Berkshire handler Dan Kubler and he has his
string in sparkling form. Mutineer is looking to complete a hat trick earlier
on this card, and his form figures for his last 5 runners are 10112. George
Downing, on board for Passing Star’s last win, has been booked for the ride and
he has a fine record for Kubler. He has 4 wins and 11 top 4 finishes from just
37 rides for the yard, a frame hitting strike rate of 41%.
Hopefully he travels a bit better in the early stages
tomorrow and doesn’t leave himself with too much to do. However, he will be
staying on when others have cried enough, and he should find life easier at
this lower level. Kubler is flying, it is his first start in a class 6 handicap
off a career low mark, he stayed on well here over shorter back in June and
over a mile I think he has every chance of hitting the frame. 16/1 looks too
big and at that price Passing Star has to be worth chancing each way.
STEVOS’ SELECTION:
14.50 SALISBURY-PASSING STAR E/W @ 16/1
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