Day 4 was a complete disaster with none of our horses
getting their heads in front. Dance King ran a creditable race in the opener
but he could only manage 6th. Dartmouth was in front before and after the line,
but he lost out on the nod. Aeolus ran an absolute stinker and Profitable wasn’t
much better in the big one.
Broken Force drifted like a barge but he did show a bit of
promise and he could be one to back next time out. Syphax was backed off the
boards and sent off at 6/1 but he ran a very poor race and he looks to be money
poorly spent by Godolphin. The only way is up after that day so hopefully the
final day sees us back in the winner’s enclosure.
RACE 1, RACE 2 AND
RACE 3
 |
| Cohesion could go well for David Bridgwater. |
I have covered the first three races for Mybettingbonus and
you can find out what I fancy by clicking here.
RACE 4-THE EBOR
This is my favourite flat handicap of the year, mostly
because I managed to find Litigant a couple of years ago at a massive price.
Big priced winners are a regular occurrence in this 14f Heritage Handicap and
hopefully there is another one in 2017. With 20 horses going to post it makes
sense to back a couple for small stakes at massive odds in this race and I
think Maleficent Queen could outrun her odds for Scottish handler Keith
Dalgleish. This 5yo daughter of Mount Nelson has won 5 of her 16 starts on
turf, including a win at Listed level at Ayr back in May.
She has been highly tried at times and she ran a blinder in
a Group 3 at Ascot (16f) earlier this season when beaten just over 5L by Sweet
Selection on quick ground. She handles any type of ground and she has won on
good to soft, good and good to firm. She has yet to win beyond 12f but she
clearly stays well and a fast run race over 14f could bring out the best in
her. She admittedly wasn’t at her best last time in a class 2 conditions race
at Musselburgh but she has been given a nice break and if the cheekpieces bring
about a bit of improvement she could outrun her odds of 50/1.
Another one that could go well at a tasty price is Cohesion,
a 4yo son of Champs Elysees who is trained by David Bridgwater. This gelding
has looked a serious horse on his first four stats for Bridgwater after moving
from France and he had the likes of Fabricate and Mistiroc in behind when
winning a class 2 12f handicap at Wolverhampton back in March. He followed that
up with an excellent run behind Winning Story on All Weather Championships day
at Lingfield over 16f and with a clearer run he would have gone very close.
That run proved he has no shortage of stamina and he
probably did too much too soon when running poorly in a Group 3 at Chantilly on
his last outing in April. He has been dropped a pound to 104 for that run so he
is just 3lb above his last winning mark. He has a 4lb swing in the weights with
Winning Story on their Lingfield meeting and George Wood claims another 3lb off
his back. Bridgwater is a trainer best known for his exploits with star chaser
The Giant Bolster, but Cohesion could be the horse to help him make his mark on
the level. At odds of 40/1 he is worth chancing e/w.
STEVOS’ SELECTIONS:
MALEFICENT QUEEN E/W 50/1 COHESION E/W 40/1
RACE 5
The final pattern race of the Ebor Festival is the Listed
Roses Stakes over 5f and I think the Richard Hannon trained filly Out Of The
Flames looks overpriced at odds of 10/1. This daughter of Showcasing has been
running well at a higher level than this and bar a poor run on easy ground at
Newbury last time she has been very consistent. She will appreciate the drying ground
at York and her trainer has already had a good 2yo winner here this week.
She won her maiden in fine style on her second start at
Windsor back in May and she was pitched straight into Group 2 company at Royal
Ascot next time (5f gd/fm). She ran a massive race in 3rd, 3L behind the winner
Heartache and just half a length behind Happy Like A Fool. She gets a nice
weight allowance from her male rivals and as Oisin Murphy is engaged in a Group
2 at Goodwood Martin Lane will come in for the ride. Her official rating of 96
leaves her with a bit to find, but I think there could be more to come from Out
Of The Flames and at odds of 10/1 she is the each way selection.
STEVOS’ SELECTION:
OUT OF THE FLAMES E/W @ 10/1
RACE 6
One horse looks criminally overpriced to me in this race and
that is First Flight. Heather Main is a trainer that I have a huge amount of
time for and she does exceptionally well with a small string. This 6yo son of
Invincible Spirt is an ex Godolphin horse and he evidently had some issues as
he was off the track for two years. He has since changed hands and his
reappearance run at Newmarket was a cracking effort last month. He was beaten
just a length off a mark of 95 and it showed that plenty of the old ability
remained.
He wasn’t quite as good last time at Yarmouth but that came
only 9 days after his Newmarket run so perhaps it came too soon. He was still
only beaten 3L though so it wasn’t a complete disaster. He has been given a
nice break since that run. He had strong form at York when trained by Bin
Suroor, including a good 3rd beaten less than a length off 98. He is a pound
lower now, quality claimer David Egan takes off another 5lb and at odds of 40/1
he has to be worth chancing each way.
STEVOS’ SELECTION:
FIRST FLIGHT E/W @ 40/1
RACE 7
The one I like at a nice price here is Tahoo for Karl Burke
and young apprentice Jack Duern. This 3yo former course and distance winner
races off a mark of 84, just 3lb above the mark off which she won last season.
Her last win came at Windsor last month off a mark of 80 and she has been off
for over a month since a rare below par effort at Sandown.
I am hoping that break has sweetened her up as she is more
than capable of making an impact here off
a mark of 84. Jack Duern is a jockey that has won plenty of races and
from 5 rides at York he has a win and 3 top 4 finishes. Tahoo is a filly that
likes to get on with things out in front and she has a decent enough draw in
stall 9. If she pings the gates she is capable of making a bold bid and at odds
of 22/1 hopefully she can hit the frame.
STEVOS’ SELECTION:
TAHOO E/W @ 22/1
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