Sappho ran a cracking race for us on Thursday at
Leopardstown to finish 2nd and as they hit the furlong pole I thought she was
going to win. Colin Keane hit the front half a furlong out but unfortunately the
expensive Harrington horse showed a smart turn of foot and got up for a half length
win. Henry De Bromhead will be delighted with that run and she looks well
capable of winning a maiden before going on to bigger and better things.
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| Stan Moore does well on his French raids. |
Today is a big day at the Curragh and I really like the
chances of Mr Scarlet in the Group 3, while I also think Romanised is
overpriced in the big one. I have tipped both horses up for Mybettingbonus and you can read why by clicking here. However, for the first time I am going to tip up a
horse in France and I think Stan Moore’s filly Debutante’s Ball is a ridiculous
price in the Prix Francis Boutin, a 7f 2yo Listed race. This daughter of Society Rock
only cost six grand as a yearling and she was sent off an unconsidered 25/1
shot on debut at Chepstow.
She belied her cheap price tag and her massive odds in that
5f contest on good to soft, staying on strongly to score by just over a length
from May Remain. That colt has gone on to win two races since and had the
benefit of a previous run, while the 5th and 6th have also won so there is
substance to the form. She was stepped markedly up in class next time in the
Group 2 Queen Mary but she found the going a bit too tough and the good to firm
ground wouldn’t have been to her liking either.
She was then entered in a Group 3 at Deauville on soft (5f)
and she ran a nice enough race in 5th. She got badly outpaced early doors
before staying on strongly late in the day and she ended up in 5th, only beaten
just over 3L. She struggled in the Super Sprint at Newbury on her penultimate
start but she ran a much better race last time in another Group 3 at Deauville,
this time on good ground over 6f.
Again she was a shade outpaced and as they entered the final
couple of furlongs she looked to be in big trouble out the back. However, once
Tonty Piccone gave her the office she made up ground hoof over fist and she
stayed on strongly for 4th, 5L behind the impressive winner but only half a length
off 3rd. She was a 1.5L behind the runner up Darkanna and that filly is rated
97, so by my reckoning she should be well up to earning some black type.
The way she has finished her two races at Deauville over 5f
and 6f suggest that she is crying out for 7f and she gets the step up in trip
today. She is up against some unexposed types in this field, but Debutante’s
Ball has the strongest form of any of them in the book and she gets a handy 3lb
allowance from the boys.
She is dropping in class, she is proven on easy ground
and her trainer is in good form. With only 7 horses going to post she is
probably nailed on to finish 3rd, however, I think she is criminally overpriced
upped in trip and hopefully she can sneak into the first two and reward each
way support at odds of 25/1.
STEVOS’ SELECTION:
13.55 DEAUVILLE-DEBUTANTE’S BALL E/W @ 25/1
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