We had an up and down Day 2 at the Ebor Festival and we were
just pipped for a place with Special Purpose. The Haggas filly just took too
long to get going and she had to settle for 4th. A step up in trip to 7f will help
this filly get her head in front. Enable ran out a facile winner of the Lowther,
but Coronet did us proud by staying on late for 2nd, advised e/w at 25/1.
Fleur Forsyte was undoubtedly the highlight, staying on
strongly to land the Galtres advised at 16/1. I was cursing Danny Muscutt a
furlong out as I thought he had gotten there far too soon, but the daughter of
Teofilo kept on dourly all the way to the line. Poet’s Princess was given a
very strange ride by PJ McDonald in the last and I am not sure what he was
doing. He went off way too quick and it was no surprise to see her fading badly.
Still, a 16/1 winner and 25/1 place is not to be sniffed at and hopefully I can
find another couple of winners on Friday.
 |
| Kevin Ryan's horses are flying. |
RACE 1
Near the head of the market I think Red Galileo looks to
have an excellent chance for Godolphin and Saeed Bin Suroor, but I don’t like
backing horses at single figure odds in races of this nature. Tim Easterby did
us a big favour on Day 1 with Wells Farhh Go in the Acomb Stakes and I think he
has another fine chance here with Dance King. Stable jockey David Allan
seemingly prefers the chances of Mukhayyam but the reason he is riding that
horse instead of Dance King is probably because 8st 7lbs is a struggle for him
to make these days.
I think Mukhayyam is handicapped to the hilt, but Dance King
is very interesting off a mark of 87, just 3lb higher than for his last win.
That win came back in June at Carlisle (11f gd/sft) and he was given a nice
little 6 week break after that race. He made a satisfactory comeback at Haydock
a couple of weeks ago and that race was likely used as a prep for a crack at
this contest. He ran a cracker over this course and distance earlier this season when beaten 1.25L
by Theydon Grey, who he was conceding 5lb to, and that horse has advertised
that form since. His form figures at York read 22643 and I think this son of
Danehill Dancer could outrun his odds for a trainer that targets races at this
meeting.
STEVOS’ SELECTION:
DANCE KING E/W @ 25/1
RACE 2, RACE 3 AND
RACE 4
I have covered these three races for Mybettingbonus and you
can see my fancies by clicking here.
RACE 5
Carl Burke has had a fantastic season with his 2yo runners
and he has landed quite a few touches with his juveniles. He runs a very
interesting colt in Broken Force here and 7f looks the perfect trip for this
son of Broken Vow to start over. His half brother Diaz went close over this
trip on debut before following up next time out and this fella is sure to be
primed for a big run with Martin Harley booked for the ride. Burke has fired in
17 2yo winners from 82 runners for a level stakes profit of over £50 this
season.
Broken Vow is not a sire that I am overly familiar with as
most of his progeny run in the USA but his stats suggest he is capable of
siring very precocious 2yos. 4 of his 11 juvenile runners on these shores have
won (36% strike rate) and he is 5/16 with runners from 7f to 9f (31%). Broken
Force’s Diesis dam was a Listed and Group 2 winner as a 2yo, and her own dam
won as a 2yo too, so Broken Force is bred to be a useful juvenile. There are
few better trainers at readying one first time up, Burke has had 6 winners in
the past fortnight and at odds of 25/1 a small each way interest is advised.
STEVOS’ SELECTION:
BROKEN FORCE E/W @ 25/1
RACE 6
A tricky looking mile handicap closes the card on Day 3 of
the Ebor Festival and a case can be made for the majority of the 15 runner
field. I think last year’s Acomb winner Syphax could outrun his odds for Kevin
Ryan and James Doyle, though he does have to bounce back from a couple of below
par efforts on his last two starts. He was never sighted when trailing in paddy
last at Newmarket in a Listed heat last time (8f gd) and he was never going
well in the Dante here (10f) on his penultimate start.
However, he shaped well enough on his seasonal reappearance
at Newcastle in a class 2 conditions contest and a repeat of that run would see
him go very close here off a mark of 100. Kevin Ryan has his string in great
form at the moment, sending out 10 winners in the past fortnight. Flaming Spear
won well here on Thursday and Hey Jonesy also ran a cracker from a bad draw. Syphax stayed on strongly over 7f to land the Acomb here last year, the drying ground
should suit and from a decent draw in stall 10 he could reward each way support
at odds of 20/1.
STEVOS’ SELECTION:
SYPHAX E/W @ 20/1
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