Friday 15 December 2017

Be Wary Of Buyer At Doncaster

I was bitterly disappointed by Floresco earlier this week as I was extremely confident of a bold showing. Everything looked right for him to go well and the money came, but Floresco had other ideas. He was up there from the get go but half a mile from home the writing was on the wall and he faded badly in the closing stages. Usually I have an excuse for when one of my selections runs poorly, but this time I am stumped. It would be no surprise were he to bounce back to form at some stage as he is definitely a well handicapped animal.
 
Floresco ran a stinker. 

Tomorrow all eyes will be on Cheltenham and I have posted a trio of tips for Mybettingbonus (click here to see them). For my blog selection I fancy one at a big price at Doncaster, and I think Buyer Beware looks an interesting runner in the 2 mile handicap hurdle at 12.00. This former Gordon Elliott inmate is now trained by Pat Holmes, and on some of his form for the Irish trainer he looks more than feasibly handicapped off a mark of 115. The 5yo son of Big Bad Bob will relish the good ground at Donny and he should strip fitter for his run last time out.

He has raced mainly on the level since joining Pat Holmes and he was below par in that sphere during the summer. However, he ran a nice race on his return from a 3 month break at Musselburgh back hurdling last month off a mark of 117. I liked how he jumped that day and though he ended up in 6th, beaten just over 8L, it was a very decent effort. The handicapper has dropped him 2lb to 115 after that outing and he should be capable of being competitive off that rating.

Buyer Beware is actually fairly unexposed in handicap company over timber, his run at Musselburgh being just his second run. Some of his novice hurdle form suggests that a mark of 115 should be well within his grasp. He was only a length behind a horse called Hassle at Cartmel last summer in receipt of a pound and that horse won a Listed handicap hurdle off 125 on his next start. He had previously finished 5L in front of Jaime Sommers at Gowran, conceding 7lb, and he won a handicap off 119 and is now rated 130.

If Buyer Beware can get back to the level of those two runs he will be a big danger in this race. John Kington rides and his 3lb claim could prove to be useful. Kington has a good record when riding for Pat Holmes, riding 4 winners and 18 top 4 finishers from 80 rides. He got to know Buyer Beware last time out at Musselburgh and with trip and ground ideal I think he has an excellent chance of hitting the frame on him tomorrow. At odds of 25/1 Buyer Beware looks worth chancing each way.

STEVOS’ SELECTION: 12.00 DONCASTER-BUYER BEWARE E/W @ 25/1

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