Saturday 16 December 2017

Kauto Worth One More Chance At Navan

There is no two ways about it, Buyer Beware was very disappointing. The omens weren’t good as he drifted like a barge out to 40/1 at one point, and eventually sent off at 33s he made no impact. In fairness to him he jumped and travelled well to a point, but as they turned for home the tank emptied quickly and perhaps he needs a bit more help from the handicapper.
 
Kauto Grand Mogol will appreciate the drop in trip at Navan.
Regular readers will remember me tipping up tomorrow’s fancy on his return to action after a long spell on the sidelines at Punchestown back in October. Kauto Grand Mogol could only manage 10th that day (20f yld/sft) but he did shape as though he was in dire need off the run and he ran a much better race than the distance beaten suggests. He was bang there at the second last but he made a mistake and tiredness got the better of him in the closing stages.

He was backed at fancy prices on his next start upped in trip to 3 miles at Clonmel, so he must have come out of his comeback run well. Unfortunately, the trip proved to be a bit too far for him and he faded late on after travelling menacingly into the race as they approached the fourth last. He ended up 6th, beaten over 20L, but he demonstrated that he still has ability and I think he could produce a big run dropped back to 20f at Navan.

Given the length of time he was missing he is likely to have benefitted massively for his first two runs back. As an added bonus the handicapper has been very generous, dropping him 10lb to a mark of 125. This half brother to Kauto Star was an excellent 4th in a Martin Pipe Hurdle back in 2014 off 135, so he looks dangerously well handicapped at the moment off 10lb lower.

Liz Doyle has booked Donagh Meyler for the ride and he has an excellent strike rate when riding for Doyle. From 22 rides he has 5 wins and 6 2nds, a frame hitting strike rate of 50% and a win strike rate of 28%. The bottomless ground at Navan shouldn’t pose any problems either as this lad won his bumper and novice hurdle easily on soft/heavy ground. I think Kauto Grand Mogol looks a massive price at 20/1 and hopefully he gives e/w backers a good run for their money.

STEVOS’ SELECTION: 13.20 NAVAN-KAUTO GRAND MOGOL E/W @ 20/1


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