Saturday, 30 May 2015

An Overpriced One At Haydock

As is usually the case on a Saturday there is no shortage of quality fare on offer, and today's fancy goes in the Group 3 Pinnacle Stakes at Haydock. The horse I like is Dermot Anthony McLoughlin's Dragon Fei, and there are a couple of factors that I believe giver her a decent chance. 

Firstly, the rain that has fallen in the last 48 hours are in this mares favour, and the underfoot conditions will suit her better than quite a few of her opponents. She has form on fast ground too, but her last couple of runs, which were the best of her career so far, have come on good or softer, and with today's going described currently as good to soft there can be no excuses on that front. 

On the ratings she has a lot to find, with her official mark of 89 some way short of the more fancied ones in this field. Talmada is rated 110, so theoretically Dragon Fei has almost 20lbs to find with this one. I am not sure about this rating though, as I feel her  last run, when she has beaten just 1/2 length by Curvy when conceding a stone in weight, surely deserves to be marked up considering Curvy went on to win the Group 3 Gallinule Stakes next time out, earning a rating of 108. She is bred to be a black type mare, with her dam being a half sister to the likes of G Force and Lajooj, and I think her current odds of 25/1 are far too big. She looks well worth supporting each way in a wide open race. 

Selection: 2.00 Haydock  Dragon Fei (25/1) each way.

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