Dragon Fei was disappointing enough in the finish today, but she did travel fairly well and was short of room for the best part of two furlongs. She didn't find much when the gap did eventually come however, and perhaps the trip of 12f stretches her.
Today's selection is a confident one.Top Boy landed a lovely punt for me this time last year at York, and I had a nice wedge in storage, ready to back him again on his return to the Knavesmire this year. However, his current mark of 84 ended up being just one measly pound below what was required to get into the race at York, so he travels to Nottingham instead.
There can be little doubt that Mr Shaw will have this horse in tip top shape, as he was more than likely being aimed at the race at York on Saturday which he won last year. He ran poorly enough on his last start at Chester, but he had a poor draw that day, and I am always willing to forgive a horse a poor run at that track. He is better judged on his previous run on the all weather at Chelmsford (RPR 92), where his 2nd place has been well advertised by the winner, and the horse he dead heated for 2nd with, since.
He gets to race off a mark of 84 today, three pounds lower than the mark he won off at York last year. This race is nowhere near the standard of the York heat either, and I think he could have too much class for most of his opponents. There are showers forecast through the night, and before racing tomorrow, which should ensure the ground is perfect for Top Boy, and the presence of a number of confirmed front runners should mean he will get the fast pace he loves to be delivered late off. At his current odds of 16/1 he looks well worth supporting each way.
Selection: 3.45 Nottingham: Top Boy 16/1
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