Tuesday 27 September 2016

Kid Could Outrun Odds For Shaw At Nottingham

It was a poor final day of the Cambridgeshire meeting at Newmarket for the blog, and my two selections for the big one never landed a blow. Arcada was the only one that made the frame, dead heating for 3rd and rewarding each way support at 12/1. She will stay further in time. Perhaps the best run of all the selections, even though she didn't place, was Crimson Rosette in the opener. Charlie Fellowes' filly ran a race chock full of promise, and she looks like she definitely has enough natural ability to win a maiden.

Wednesday's selection goes at Nottingham, and Corridor Kid could be ready to take a big step forward on his recent form on his handicap debut for Derek Shaw. This 3yo son of Kodiac has had six goes in maidens, and he showed plenty of ability on a couple of occasions. He ran a nice race here on his debut to be 5th (5f gd), beaten just 4.5L, and he was the same distance behind the winner next time at Haydock (5f gd/sft).

He reappeared in a 5f (gd) maiden at Thirsk back in April, and he showed that he had wintered well with a cracking run in 2nd, beaten just a quarter length (25/1). The 3rd, 5th and 7th home from that race have all won races since, and the winner has since moved to Germany to the Wohler yard. He was put away after that effort and reappeared at Beverley in another maiden, where the undulations didn't seem to suit him. His sp of 11/4 would suggest that connections expected better that day.

He was even shorter last time out at Newcastle (15/8fav) on the all weather, and he again ran poorly. However, there is every chance that the all weather surface didn't suit and he is worth giving another chance to back on turf. He is by Kodiac, whose progeny are best on turf (48% as compared to 35% on all weather), and his dam won a handicap on good ground  (she is related to no less than 4 turf winners).

The first time visor used at Newcastle is retained, and with the stalls in the centre at Nottingham tomorrow his draw in 11 should not be a problem. Martin Lane is a good booking, and he is 6/48 for Shaw this season, placing 8 times. Nottingham is a relatively flat course, so that will suit him more than the testing and undulating 5f at Beverley, and on the form of that his seasonal reappearance he should be capable of reaching the frame off his mark of 75. His last couple of efforts mean stakes should be kept to a minimum, but at pretty tasty odds Corridor Kid looks worthy of a small each way bet tomorrow.

STEVOS' SELECTION: 5.10 NOTTINGHAM: CORRIDOR KID E/W 16/1

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