Tuesday 20 September 2016

Nobility A Potential Improver At Redcar

Magia Del Corso ran no sort of race at Gowran, heavily eased in the final stages. She was backed from 16s into 8s just before the off, but yet again the 'gamble' went astray. The way she was eased suggested something wasn't right with her, and after that run is is hard to keep the faith. She has definitely shown enough in the past to suggest she can win a handicap, but until she shows a bit more spark she is best left alone.

Tomorrow at Redcar I like the look of a Tim Easterby handicap debutant, and Nobility could take a step forward from what he has shown in maidens so far. He goes in the 6f nursery at 14.10, and he gets in off a mark of just 56. Easterby runs two in the race, with Coco La Belle the mount of David Allan. Rachel Richardson takes a handy 3lb off Nobility and, though he is twice the price of his stablemate, I think he could outrun his massive odds.

Form figures of 8879 don't exactly inspire confidence, and his debut run was pretty forgettable over 5f on good to soft at Ripon. It was marginally better at Thirsk next time, his only run over today's trip of 6f (gd). He was still beaten over 8L though, and it was a similar margin of defeat when he was upped to 7f at Wolverhampton. He was kept to maiden company last time, and he showed up well for a long way over 5f here (gd). However, the ground might have been a touch soft for him and he weakened in the last 100yds.

He travelled well for a long way in that race, and an extra furlong might well suit him. The race developed on the near side too, and he was stuck out on the far side. He has a perfect draw in stall 10, as middle to high numbers are strongly favoured on the straight track at Redcar. I think different tactics could be employed tomorrow, and Richardson could try to hold him up off what is hopefully a strong pace. It will be his first try on really quick ground and, being by Alfred Nobel, that is another cause for optimism. Hopefully he travels well, the race falls apart and he comes late to hit the frame. At odds of 20/1 he is the each way selection in a trappy looking nursery.

STEVOS' SELECTION: 2.10 REDCAR: NOBILITY E/W 20/1


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