Friday 30 September 2016

Saturday's Selection

We were out of luck again earlier in the week with My Charlie Brown. He pulled way too hard in the early stages and the pedestrian pace didn't play to his strengths. He could only manage a 4th placed finish, but given a more truly run race he is capable of much better and he is not one to lose faith in just yet.

Tomorrow is a cracking day of action, and my fancy goes in the big 150k sales race at Newmarket at 4.35. The one I like is right down the bottom off just 8st 2lbs, and Vote is a filly that could be capable of outrunning her odds of 25/1 for James Eustace and jockey Danny Brock.

This daughter of Aqlaam was sent off at 33/1 on her debut at Sandown (5f gd) for James Eustace back in June. She belied those odds ran a race chock full of promise. She looked pretty green early on, but she travelled really well into the race up the inside and just as Ryan Tate was about to give her the office she was snatched up and badly hampered. He switched her and she finished seemingly full of running in 4th, 4.5L behind the victor Somebody To Love.

The winner flew home down the outside, and that filly is now rated 91 after going on to be beaten just over 4L in a Group 2. The 3rd home went on to win a maiden next time out and is now rated 85. The form has a strong look to it, and I think Vote would have been an awful lot closer to the principals only for that interference.

She was put away for a couple of months after that, and reappeared at Leicester in another 5f maiden. Vote was sent off at just 3/1 for this race, but she looked a bit green in finishing 3rd. She took a while to hit top gear, but she stayed on nicely and her style of running suggests a step up to 6f will really suit her. Her dam has plenty of stamina in her pedigree too, so everything points towards the trip bringing about improvement.

James Eustace has decided to book man of the moment Danny Brock for the ride, and he will be brimful of confidence after his breakthrough win last weekend. The weights in this race are determined by the price of the horse, so Vote gets in off a feather weight thanks to her small price tag.

Obviously in a race like this luck will play a major part, and stakes should be kept to a minimum. However, I can't resist having a small each way bet on Vote at 25/1. Bet365 are the only bookie offering 4 places for this contest, so I would advise you to get on with them.

STEVOS' SELECTION: 4.35 NEWMARKET VOTE E/W 25/1 (4 PLACES B365)

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