Tuesday, 23 June 2015

Possible Improver At Ballinrobe

David Harry Kelly is a trainer I have a lot of respect for. He is well capable of readying one, and he has a filly of interest tonight in the 6.10 at Ballinrobe.
Gainmill Lady has hardly pulled up any trees with her performances so far, and her last effort was particularly disappointing. The handicapper has reacted accordingly though, and she is now 18lbs lower than when making her handicap debut off 63. That was arguably her best run too, and came over 8.5F. She stayed on late in the day, and shaped as if stepping up another couple of furlongs would suit.
She had one more run last year, on soft ground, and bombed out. She reappeared in April at Dundalk over 8f and again looked in need of further, staying on well after being hampered. She got her step up in trip last time out, but the ground turned against her and she unsurprisingly ran a shocker.
Today will be her first go at 10F on good ground, and I believe she will relish conditions. Her pedigree is a head scratcher, as it is full of speed so 10f ought to be too far for her, but sometimes you have to believe what you actually see a horse do, rather than believe what you think it should do on breeding. Hopefully my eyes haven't deceived me, and if they haven't, she is well worth a speculative few quid each way with Powers paying 4 places.

Selection: 6.10 Ballinrobe Gainmill Lady e/w 16/1 (4 places powers)

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